Saturday, December 10, 2016

Financial Astrology - December 12, 2016

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For the SP500, cycle-wise November 4th was the Primary cycle trough1  which puts us entering the 6th week of a new nominal 18 week cycle. This was the 40 week cycle trough as well. 

It should be noted Primary cycles (18 weeks) most often start with a 6 week sub-cycle. We are there. The 2nd most common start is a 1/2 Primary or 9 week sub-cycles.

The next estimated Primary cycle ( aka nominal 18 week cycle)  low is estimated to be  March 6th +- 3 weeks with a range of February 13th, 2017 to March 19, 2017. It could also be the week of March 19, 2017 +- 3 weeks. As we get closer I will use the upcoming Astros to try and get a more exact reading on when the Primary cycle trough will occur. Early April is another possibility.

Last month had a number of Neptune transits. December has a number of Mars and Uranus transits. These start on Monday December 12 when the Sun trines Uranus. Uranus is in fiery Aries.

Last week we said:
"On Monday December 5th the Sun will conjunct the heliocentric Nodes of Uranus which often results in a change in trend or big range day."
This started another move up which lasted all week.

On December 13, 2016 there is a perigee Full Moon or Supermoon. Watch the period around December 13 +- 3 cd's (calendar days) closely. This could be a period of strong earthquake events or other geophysical activity. Also look for strong tides and possibly violent weather. The Sun is in fairly close conjunction to Saturn during the full moon. We could be looking at a sudden reversal in the markets.

On December 14th we have the FOMC meeting and finally a rate increase even though bonds have already moved. Remember, QE was to bale out the banks, not the economy.

December 19 starts the Mercury Retrograde period. Covered many times, Mercury is known as the trickster and the retrograde period is not a good time to make decisions, or sign contracts or agreements. It's about confusion, mis-directed energy and troubled communications including; speaking, writing and transmitting. Go ahead and plan. Mercury has it's most effect on people who know nothing about it. This Mercury retrograde will start when Mercury is almost exactly in conjunction with Pluto, suggesting a major agreement of some kind. The Mercury Retrograde period will last until Mercury turns Direct on January 8, 2017.

Following is a daily chart of the SP500 with the Mercury retrograde (red arrow pointed left) and Mercury direct (blue arrow pointed right). This chart also shows the Superior and Inferior conjunctions.

December 26 when the US markets are closed for Christmas there is a 14 year aspect, Jupiter opposing Uranus. This is the first of a 3-pass in 2017. At times this opposition will be a T-square with Pluto at the Apex. The French Astrologer, Barbault considers this transit to be predominantly a capitalist oriented cycle. This transit could bring a spirit of individual and collective optimism. Look for progress as this aspect encourages and a perception of deeper potentialities, poses questions and opens up opportunities. This may be particularly opportune at this time with "The Donald" looking to improve the capitalist system which is the USA. Don't look for an immediate event. Look for a swing to the right politically. Revolution??

On the other hand, if the society is in crisis it can cause very volatile events to occur without warning amongst an atmosphere of acute tension. There is a dangerous "war mongering" potential of this transit. A quick look at some major charts shows France with transiting Saturn on natal Saturn. Jupiter is almost conjunct the natal True North Node and transiting Pluto quincunx natal Uranus. There could be sudden events particularly over the holiday period. This is based on the French, 5th Republic chart of;
October 5, 1958
0.00 am  CET
Paris, France
48'N52''  2'E20''

This is a 14 year cycle. Longer term transits, like this, need time to germinate. This transit with the addition of Pluto in a T-square formation may bring problems to the March / April 2017 timeframe. Nevertheless we can expect exciting, new events as the energy of this transit becomes assimilated. There are other issues involving the 8 year cycle of Venus which will be included in the next subscribers report. March / April 2017 could see major problems in the financial markets.

In addition to this transit Mars will make a number of transits over the holiday period. This could be pointing to a violent period with possibly increased terrorist activity.
The other long term aspect is Saturn trine Uranus, a 45 year aspect. We will cover this important transit in the subscriber report. For our purposes here we will say it has a history in the middle east. We can also say this should be "wild and crazy" times.
Following is a daily chart of the SP500. The brown line is an adjusted Bradley indicator. It's purpose is to find a change in trend. This is not straight forward to read and the details with video are in section 9 of the subscribers report. Price is now above both the 15 and 45 day sma's. and the 15 day sma is above the 45 day. They both turned up. A usual setup leading out of a Primary cycle low.

As far as aspects go, the Sun and Jupiter have an affinity for the SP500. The following daily chart of the SP500 shows the Jupiter (blue) price line and the Sun (black) price line. The price line is the longitude of the planets converted to price. On the following chart note the price tends to either reverse or make a sharp move where the Sun price line and Jupiter price line cross. Note the last price bar, 6 bars ago, on this chart is on one of these crossings. It stopped going up and has been drifting down. Watch the next blue Jupiter price line to see if we get resistance in the 2262 area.

I continue to watch the 24th harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycles. The brown squares are Sun / Saturn 15 degrees on the following daily chart. The second last hit was
November 4th, the day of the cycle troughs we have been following. The next hits are  then Dec. 9th and December 26th. Dec. 9th is the last Sun / Saturn 15 degrees. It may be close to a high. Watch Dec 12 and 13th, next week. They are often at short changes in trend.

I have added 3 price lines to this chart.
Saturn - black
Uranus - purple
Neptune - light blue

These price lines can act as support / resistance. Notice we have just moved down to the Neptune price line (light blue). went through then came back to the Neptune price line then moved up again.

Also on this chart is a blue vertical line which is the 24 cd (calendar day) cycle. It has been at highs and lows. The next date is Dec. 19th.

There have been a number of earthquakes over 6.5 this week. I'm expecting more probably closer to December 13 or the end of December 2016.

I was looking at October 7th as the start of a new nominal 18 week cycle   1 trough. The week of the Nov 11th move down negates that possibility and leaves us looking for a Gold cycle low. If we are still looking for the low in Gold, which I think we are, then we are in the 27th week. This is not a good technical configuration. Note the Primary cycle that ended on June 1, 2016 was 26 weeks, an outlier.

On the following chart Gold is at the 61.8% retracement of the move from December 2015 to August 2016 and appears to be getting support but we are sliding past it. As noted above under the SP500 section, I'm expecting surprises and a sharp move up in Gold would be one of them. Of course a dramatic move down would surprise me as well but I'm leaning to a move up, ideally on the holiday period during the last 2 weeks of 2016.

Like stocks Gold can be effected by the Mercury retrograde. Following is a daily Gold  chart with the arrows identifying retrograde and direct dates and the Inferior and Superior Sun / Mercury conjunctions. So, coming up are the Mercury Retrograde date of December 19th then December 28 for the Inferior conjunction. January 8 has Mercury turning direct again. Any of these 3 dates could be a turn in Gold. Note the Mercury conjunctions are often a sharp move +- 2 tds.

Beyond the nominal 18 week cycle there is a 13 1/2 month cycle that is due for a trough then up. This cycle typically lands in the 11 to 14th month. Again it may have been October 7th.

The following weekly chart for Gold has the 13.5 month cycle shown as the blue vertical lines. I had been looking ahead to see if there are any Astrological aspects with a history of moves in Gold. I was looking at the Sun / Neptune square and that could turn out to be close to a turn date in Gold.

The next chart is a longer term monthly chart showing the 7.4 year cycle in Gold. They are the red vertical lines. Note that the 7.4 year cycle put in a low in late 2015. We are now in a pull back but we are very early in the 7.4 year cycle which should be bullish in the long term. I'm looking for a more substantial move up in late November or December.

August 3rd was the start of the Primary cycle and we are now either entering the 19 week or the 4th week and November 14th was a shortened Primary cycle at 15 weeks. This big move up was after the OPEC meeting and there supposed cut-back in production. Trump's oil policy where he has stated he wants to have the US produce it's own crude via shale oil, fracking, side-ways drilling etc. is in conflict with OPEC production cuts.

The end of a Primary cycle is usually the most volatile and harder to predict. On the following chart the 15 day sma is pointed up as is the 45 day sma. This looks like the Primary cycle is in. This volatility is usual for a Primary trough formation. This is pointing to the coming week being the 4th week with the Primary cycle trough on November 14th. We also have a new high on December 5th. Could this be a left translated top from which we go down in this Primary cycle.

I'm watching all aspects to Jupiter or Neptune, the two rulers of crude. The price of crude is subject to the vagaries of the OPEC group and the actions of it's individual members. The Sun square Neptune aspect on November 3rd and the OPEC announcement may have identified the Primary cycle low.

Following is a daily chart of crude showing the price lines for the Sun (green) and Pluto (black). Note that recent move up in crude has stopped. or at least slowed down at the up sloping green line, the Sun price line. Look for resistance here or the Pluto price line directly above it in the 52.61 range. The two price lines cross on December 14th

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