Friday, July 8, 2016

Financial Astrology - July 11, 2016

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For the SP500, cycle-wise June 27 appears to be the Primary cycle trough.  1 that that puts it in the 2nd week. Feb 11th was the trough of the previous Primary cycle and that started on August 24, 2015. Early in a cycle is often the most bullish part. I was looking for a possible 50 week low to coincide with the Primary trough but this does not appear deep enough. This may see the 50 week trough to occur with the next Primary cycle trough near the end of October. This may be pushed into early November with the expected wild ride due to the US elections.

From the February 26, 2016 blog post.
"Currently the 18 week cycle trough would be the week of June 13 +- 3 weeks so the range is the week of May 23rd to the week of July 4th."

With June 27th being the low the next Primary cycle should be October 24th with a range from October 3rd to November 14.

From that Special Update

the exact date for Vedic Uranus entering zero degrees of Aries was Monday June 27. This is an approximate 84 year cycle so I wasn't expecting an event on the exact day, but we got it.

We may see further surprise events in either the markets, geophysical or other unusual happenings. The dates near the following could come into play. I've been calling this Vedic Uranus which is the same as calling Sidereal Uranus.

July 29th        Sidereal  Uranus turns Retrograde
August 31       Sidereal  Uranus moves out of Aries (going backwards) into Pisces.
April 8, 2017  Sidereal  Uranus crosses 0"Aries0' again.

Notice that price is now above the 15 and 45 day sma for the Primary cycle The 15 is just above the 45 day sma's and both sma's are curling up.

On the Astrology front the next few weeks should see the effects of Uranus events and transits. Following are some key dates which need +- 2 to 3 td's

July 16            Sun waxing square to Uranus
                        This is the square which always occurs approx. 13 cd's before Uranus                                 turns retrograde.

July 29            Uranus Stationary/Retrograde

August 16       Sun waxing trine to Uranus
                        This is the trine that always occurs approx. 18 cd's after Uranus turns                                 retrograde.

The above transits and events are Geocentric (Earth centered) aspects.

I view the above as a time window. There is a similar time window for Saturn which turns direct on August 13th.

There are also a number of Heliocentric (Sun centered) aspects. Heliocentrically Venus and Uranus are emphasized. Uranus is sudden change, unusual events, technology and new ideas. For the unprepared it can be disruptive.
There are many other powerful transits during this time period including Saturn (restriction) turning Direct on August 13th while being squared by Venus (money). There could be some type of crisis occurring mid to late August. There may be an event of some description near the end of July as well.

If there was only one word to describe the next month and a half it would be "disruptive".

Although the Uranus / Pluto square is separating we may still get a move when these two planets are transited by another planet. The following weekly chart shows Venus transits to Uranus and Pluto. They are the events on the chart with the light blue circles. Notice a short down period after these events. We just had the Venus events again so I'm expecting a pullback.

When Saturn turns direct on August 13 it will be headed for the last exact waning square between Saturn and Neptune. This aspect has created much of the tension, lies and deceit we have seen for the last number of months. The date of the last exact square is September 10 but these longer term transits will color history for many months afterwards.

The following transit is exact again in September but will be coloring this period of time (all year). Lies and deceit continue.
Saturn square Neptune
-in the middle of a 3 pass, 2 exact hits to come this year
Saturn is about social order, structure and regulations. Neptune can be politically unrealistic and a desire to avoid confrontation. It can be devious, underhanded and use subversive tactics.
This aspect is often present near times when there is a change in trend for interest rates or inflation. It can also be a period of epidemics, pandemics suffering, depression and money valuation problems. This could be a change in the world's reserve currency or issues around it. A large increase in precious metals is also possible as it is a money valuation issue. This 36 year aspect has been associated with political changes, reforms and development of socialism. One wonders in regards to epidemics and sickness, would this be natural illnesses or man-made. If you feel depressed or not at ease this aspect may be the cause. One of these planets may be hitting a planet in your personal horoscope.

Neptune can be the height of spirituality or illusion, delusion and deceit. Saturn is reality, Karmic debt, contraction, depression, sorrow and disappointment. When these planets meet look for political changes and reforms. Self sacrifice may come to the fore. This aspect seems to have a history with the British Royal Family.

On the following weekly chart of the DJIA, the red squares are Jupiter square Saturn, now past, and the green squares are Saturn square Neptune. It's between these two events that I have been looking for the Primary cycle low. We got it.

The next 2 charts are daily charts of the SP500, and the Russell 2000. The horizontal blue lines are the average longitude of the planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto on both charts This average is converted to price and displayed on the charts. Notice how well they have acted as support and resistance. We'll see shortly whether 2149 acts as resistance. This would be a new all time high for the SP500. The red vertical lines are a 45 cd cycle I've been following since the May 20, 2015 high. It was 1 day away from the Primary cycle low.

The next chart is the Russell 2000. This index is subject to far less manipulation than the SP500. Notice how well it respects the Astrological average price lines. Here, the blue horizontal lines again are the average longitude of the planets Jupiter through Pluto converted to price. The Russell also put in a low on June 27th and headed up. We should be in the 2nd week of a newer Primary cycle. Notice the Russell 2000 index stopped right on the average planetary lines at 1178

The first week in July has a number of potent aspects as well. It should be a volatile ride. Pluto is emphasized and so is Venus. Venus stands for money, amongst other things.

I continue to watch the 24th harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycle between the Sun and Saturn, which are the brown squares on the following daily chart. The next hits are July 15th and August 1st. They are often at short term swings.

The following chart shows the Sun / Uranus squares (red). They are often at turns. The next dates are July 15 then Jan 9, 2017. Also on this daily chart the red vertical lines are a 224 cd cycle. They are often found at changes in trend as well. The next one is July 20th. The July 20th date also has a Bradley turn (see red line). Remember the Bradley has no polarity. It points to a change in trend and sometimes does not work. There are 2 other indications for July 20th so I think there is a turn in here. It will depend on how we get there.

There are difficult transits at the end of July and mid to the end of August. These may also indicate some type of crisis or event.

I was looking at March 28th as the start of a new nominal 18 week cycle   1 trough.

We had a low on May 31 which was slightly lower than the March 28th low. Our rules would state that we are now in a new Primary cycle starting May 31. This would negate March 28 being a low and make the previous Primary cycle very long.

We outlined the possibilities on last weeks blog and now going with May 31 as the Primary cycle low. This puts us entering the 6th week this coming week where we often get a pullback to the 6 week trough (5-7 weeks). It could also go to the 1/2 Primary cycle which would be 9 weeks +- 2 weeks.

We had expected Gold to have a short pullback with Mars turning Direct on June 29th. Recent history for Mars Direct has Gold moving down after the Mars Direct signature. This obviously did not happen and Gold has moved higher.

Gold has followed general Mars transits in Scorpio. Starting with Mars entering Scorpio in early January 2016 Gold went up. The move ended when Mars entered Sagittarius  on March 5th. Gold then went sideways until Mars turned retrograde on April 17th.

On May 27 Mars reentered Scorpio moving backwards. The red x's on the following daily chart of Gold show the effect of the Mars transits.
Mars will turn direct on June 29th and leave Scorpio for Sagittarius once again on August 2nd where Gold has a history of moving down or flat. We expect Gold to be flat to down once we get past August 2nd and maybe earlier. It will be 10 weeks along in the Primary cycle at that point.

Price is now above the 15 sma and 45 sma.  Both moving averages have turned up with the 15 day above to move above the 45 day sma. Gold may benefit from the uncertainty over the next few weeks.

The red vertical lines are the 14 cd cycle which has been at tops and bottoms for short term trend changes. The next date is July 14th and July 28th.

On the following daily Gold charts there are the Venus (green), Jupiter (blue). These are the longitude of the planet converted to price. Gold often makes a big move close to when the Venus and Jupiter price lines cross. The next cross is July 29th.

Watch this area as Gold may follow the Venus price line (green). Uranus is active by transit and may result in unusual and sudden change.

Feb 11 was the start of the Primary cycle trough. We had chosen June 27th as the Primary cycle trough although recent activity during the week indicates the crude cycle trough is still forming. It is too early to confirm it at this point. This would put us in the 21st week of an older Primary (nominal 18 week cycle). The low in crude price the last 2 days was on the planetary average of Jupiter through Pluto longitude converted to price.
Again, This could be the Primary cycle trough but too early to call at this point.

Mentioned many times Jupiter and Neptune are the co-rulers of crude. Neptune is in Pisces, the sign that it rules, making it stronger.

On July 3 the Sun trines Neptune. This aspect often occurs near double bottoms or at least a date that makes a move to an older target. Watch out for a double bottom in crude next week. We may be seeing the double bottom right now.

The next daily chart of crude has the Jupiter (blue) and Neptune (grey) Price Lines. These are the two planets that rule crude. Price is falling. Watch for a turn if price gets down to the 43-44 area.

The red squares are the 24th harmonic between the Sun and Neptune. Amongst other things this harmonic is for a "short term change in trend". The next date is July 18th then August 3rd.  

I've been experimenting with another Astro / Gann technique to forecast price. I emphasize experimenting so watch oil price but I wouldn't trade based on this forecast until I have more history. If the following is correct it is probably indicating the Primary cycle trough is in.

The following did not work. Back to the drawing board.
Oil Price Forecast Test (June 17)
July 7 price range 52.40 - 56.80