Saturday, January 9, 2016

Financial Astrology - January 11, 2016

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For the SP500, cycle-wise we are entering the 20th week of the Primary cycle  1 cycle that started on Aug 24th.  This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks. This is the chart we have been following for many months and the forecast has been on the chart for many months, it's the red line and dates on the chart. It was anticipated we would have a Primary cycle low between Dec 7, 2015 and Jan 15, 2016.

VIDEO - quick review of the SP500 chart.

Up until last week we had thought a new Primary cycle had started on Dec 14th. With the recent lows closing well below that level the trough of the Primary cycle has either occurred Jan 8th or it is in front of us.

If the markets can reverse over the next few days this would be a normal length for a Primary cycle. If it goes past the 21st week at lower levels we must consider that a longer term cycle may be forming a trough as well. We have included charts for the 6.5 - 7 year and the Kitchin (3.3 year) cycle for many months. Longer term cycles will not go down to their trough in one move. They move down over a number of months.

At this point I'm looking for a low either Jan 11th or Jan 14th, 15th. Price wise around 1922 looks like a floor. If we move below 1922 I'm looking at 1894. Any bounce should be short-term and looked as a shorting opportunity. We will see some ups and downs but the overall trend should be down in the SP500 and other major US market indices. There are arguments that point to Jan 15th being a high but we have few days left between Jan 15th and now, but be aware. Longer term we should be going lower into the spring. I'm looking for a deeper cycle low in the April / May time frame. The last 2 weeks of April has:

April 17           Mars Retrograde
April 18           Pluto Retrograde
April 28           Mercury Retrograde
May 9              Jupiter Direct
May 26            Jupiter square Saturn

That's a lot of Astros pointing to change. There are of course many other Astrological aspects in that time frame.

Before we get to the spring time frame I've mentioned the Jan 29th date +- 5 td's as an important date. Geocentrically we have Jupiter conjunct the North Node for the second time in 1 week. A very unusual Astrological event. Earlier in that week we have Mercury finishing it's retrograde and turning Direct on Jan 25th.

Heliocentrically, this is a VERY significant date. Following are the heliocentric aspects for Jan 29th.

Saturn square Neptune
Jupiter trine Pluto
Venus trine Chiron
Mercury conjunct Mars
Earth trine Saturn
Earth quincunx Neptune

I'm looking for a low +- 5 td's from Jan 29th. After this low a high into mid February is quite probable.

VIDEO - Mercury retrograde January 2016

In addition to the markets the Astrological aspects near Jan 29th could also manifest as violent weather, geophysical events (earthquakes / volcanoes) or terrorist events.

From last weeks blog:

"Two of the important aspects unfolding are the Jupiter / Saturn square and the Saturn / Neptune square. These are in addition to the fading but still active Uranus / Pluto square. The latter square will be translated by the Sun this coming week so watch for the themes from the past few years to be highlighted once again."

The Sun's translation of the Uranus / Pluto square last week is self evident and largely caused the low. Quite a week.

On the following chart, the red squares are Jupiter square Saturn. An ideal spot for a significant low would be between the last 2 red squares at March 23rd to May 26th.

Simply the placement of planets in signs during the course of a year can have a dramatic effect.

For example, many of the U.S. largest stocks markets losses have occurred while
Saturn is in mutable signs. The mutable signs are Gemini, Virgo, Sagittarius and Pisces. Saturn will be in Sagittarius until Dec 20, 2017.

For 2016 we have Jupiter, Saturn, Neptune and the North Node in mutable signs. In addition both Solar eclipses are in mutable signs. Mutable signs are about flexibility and the ability to change be they  traders, politicians or whoever.

Saturn is in Sagittarius which rules the law, religion, philosophy and science. With the square to Neptune is a good signal for a religious message that gets perverted. It's a time period where things seen depressing and fusing. As mentioned before this Saturn Neptune square is a 36 year cycle which can effect interest rates and the value of money. 36 years ago we had crude shortages and 20% mortgages. I'm not saying we go back to those levels but interest rates may go higher than expected. An increase in Gold prices is a change in the value of money.

Other longer term cycles that may be close to seeing their lows in the next couple of months are the 6.5 - 7 year cycle and the Kitchin cycle (40 months). I'm looking at the period from mid-December 2015 through the spring of 2016 as a potential time period for these cycles. They are long term cycles and need a broad orb. I will come up with more specific dates as we get closer.

The Kitchin cycle on the SP500 chart. This is a monthly chart. cycles may appear closer than when they actually due.

Other long term cycle due, including the 6.5 - 7 year.

Longer term cycles on a monthly chart of the DJIA. These need a wide orb.

The following weekly chart shows the 21 and 34 weekly moving averages and the fact price broke through both averages Also the 21 and 34 week moving averages are pointing down. There are a number of powerful heliocentric aspects on Jan 29, 2016 +- 5 tds. One of these is the heliocentric Saturn / Neptune square.

The question is, do we have a significant low in front of us. At this point I think yes and it should be late Jan / early Feb, 2016 and then lower in the spring time frame in 2016. Too low and the FED will probably step in.

Gold put in a  Primary cycle   1 trough on July 24th.

This puts us entering the 6th week of the nominal 18 week during this coming week. I had Dec 3rd as a Primary cycle low having bought the day before as I was looking for a spike low.

Although I was expecting the normal rise on a Primary cycle low Gold went into a sideways consolidation and finally got a move up.

We could be seeing the start of a pullback from the nominal 6 week cycle. There are 3,
6 week cycles in the nominal 18 week cycle. I sold my Gold holdings Thurs and Friday last week, but will buy again when I see a 6 week cycle trough.

I'm expecting a bigger move in Gold later in the year, possibly at the end of the next primary cycle which may also be a 17 month cycle low. The move should be up. Again, subscribers have the potential dates. On the following daily chart we see Gold moved up to the Jupiter price line (blue) where it often finds resistance. Watch Jan 14 and 15 for Gold.

This coming week of January 4th, 2016 we should be entering the 20th week of a nominal 18 week cycle which started August 24th.

Many commodities and financials should be affected by the Saturn / Neptune waning square this year. This is a 3 pass with the last 2 occurring mid-Year and then September 2016. This is a 36 year cycle so looking back 36 years we had severe problems with the lack of crude and interest rates went over 20%. Things are never the same, but often close. I expect Crude to rise this year, although it may be later in the year and I expect some inflation later in the year. Are we at the bottom in crude? We should be close.

It is difficult to forecast Crude here with all the geopolitical events, OPEC and our climate change friends. I'll be changing focus to NatGas in the next few weeks. NatGas is very local so we'll look at NatGas prices in North America.

Looking at heliocentric aspects there is  a very interesting date on January 29th, 2016 +- a few.

Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

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  1. With the 6 week low in Gold how low do you expect it to be? The current level at $1083 or a bit lower say $1050?

  2. Chris, I was looking for 1080-1088 price wise but I'm a timer and usually base turns on time. In this case I'm looking for Jan 15 +- 1 TD, so we should be close.

  3. Pl. check here. The Jan 29th Jupiter and North Node(Rahu) not conjucting. They will conjuct on 20th June. A bottom should take place there +- 30 days, as both are slow moving planets.

  4. Rajesh. I'm using the tropical Zodiac and the "True North Node" not the mean or average. If you look at any tropical ephemeris you will find Jupiter conjunct the True North Node on Jan 23rd and then again on Jan 29th due to retrograde motion. Then again on June 20th.

    1. PS Rajesh, I checked your link and it's referring to Vedic Astrology which is sidereal based, while western Astrology is based on the tropical zodiac.

  5. hi , do you accept any other payment option besides credit card.