Saturday, January 16, 2016

Financial Astrology - January 18, 2016

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For the SP500, cycle-wise we are entering the 21st week of the Primary cycle  1 cycle that started on Aug 24th.  This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks. This is the chart we have been following for many months and the forecast has been on the chart for many months, it's the red line and dates on the chart. It was anticipated we would have a Primary cycle low between Dec 7, 2015 and Jan 15, 2016. Note the last date. If longer term cycles lows are forming the normal length of the nominal 18 week cycle can be distorted.

VIDEO - quick review of the Uranus / Pluto square

Subscribers check the Jan 10th ALERT, I was looking for a trough Jan 14 or 15th. This could turn out to be that trough, depending on market action on Tuesday; however, we still have the Jan 29th time frame and the next two weeks could be nasty. Will the "Plunge Protection Team" or the FED get involved?

With the sharp market moves down we should consider one or more of the longer term cycles are coming down to enter their trough. Note the longer term charts we have shown for many months, specifically the Kitchin cycle (40 months) and the 6.5- 7 year cycle. The longer term cycles typically pull everything down with them. This can be a process that takes many months when only looking at the longer term cycle charts. We use the Astrological aspects to determine a more exact time. Longer term geocentric Astrological cycles include:

Uranus waning square Pluto
            - passed the exact but still in orb (1 degree)

Remember what this square is about.
"This aspect has a historical association between anarchic uprisings and problems with debt and Banks. The debt issue will have major negative consequences for all financial markets.

Other events associated with this square are protest movements, social unrest and perhaps mob violence. Tax revolts fit in as well. The square is about tearing down the old structures (governments, financial institutions) and building anew. Although Uranus is about sudden change and surprises, Pluto is about long term changes that will not be undone. It is ruthless in it’s force to change the status quo. We are only 1 degree away from the exact Uranus and Pluto square."

Jupiter waning square Saturn
            - in the middle of a 3 pass, 2 exact hits to come this year

"The business cycle and direct effect on European history. Major changes will be   occurring in Europe as result of the refuge migration. There is a major sign   change coming up when Jupiter and Saturn are conjunct in 2020. More on this 240 year conjunction in a future post."
Saturn square Neptune
            -in the middle of a 3 pass, 2 exact hits to come this year

"This aspect is often present near times when there is a change in trend for interest rates or inflation. It can also be a period of epidemics, pandemics suffering, depression and money valuation problems. This could be a change in the world's reserve currency or issues around it. A large increase in precious metals is also possible as it is a money valuation issue. This 36 year aspect has been associated with political changes, reforms and development of socialism. One wonders in regards to epidemics and sickness, would this be natural illnesses or man-made."

As we move into the April / May time frame Jupiter, Saturn and Neptune will form a
T-square with Saturn at the apex in Sagittarius. I'm looking to this time frame to be a longer term cycle low. This signature can also indicate scandals of some sort.

The spring time frame looks like a time to protect capital. I would say we should start now.

On the following chart, the red squares are Jupiter square Saturn. An ideal spot for a significant low would be between the last 2 red squares at March 23rd to May 26th. Note the green squares also. These are the Saturn / Neptune exact squares and the middle square is very close to the last Jupiter / Saturn square.

There are a number of potent aspects in April leading into the above dates.

Before we get to the spring time frame I've mentioned the Jan 29th date +- 5 td's as an important date. Geocentrically we have Jupiter conjunct the North Node for the second time in 1 week. A very unusual Astrological event. Earlier in that week we have Mercury finishing it's retrograde motion and turning Direct on Jan 25th. Just before turning retrograde Mercury will translate the Uranus / Pluto square. Mercury will then translate the same square again on the weekend of Jan 30 and 31st.

Remember Mercury is known as the trickster particularly when retrograde. Do we get tricked on Mercury's first translation of the Uranus / Pluto square on Jan 20 and Jan 22 and then get the real message over the weekend of Jan 30, 31st. This may be pointing to a very troublesome start to February 2016. Heliocentrically, Jan 29th is a VERY significant date. Following are the heliocentric aspects for Jan 29th.

Saturn square Neptune
Jupiter trine Pluto
Venus trine Chiron
Mercury conjunct Mars
Earth trine Saturn
Earth quincunx Neptune

I'm looking for a low +- 5 td's from Jan 29th

VIDEO - Mercury retrograde January 2016. Repeat From last weeks post.

In addition to the markets the Astrological aspects near Jan 29th could also manifest as violent weather, geophysical events (earthquakes / volcanoes) or terrorist events.

For 2016 we have Jupiter, Saturn, Neptune and the North Node in mutable signs. In addition both Solar eclipses are in mutable signs. Mutable signs are about flexibility and the ability to change.

Saturn is in Sagittarius which rules the law, religion, philosophy and science. With the square to Neptune is a good signal for a religious message that gets perverted. It's a time period where things seen depressing.

Other longer term cycles that may be close to seeing their lows in the next couple of months are the 6.5 - 7 year cycle and the Kitchin cycle (40 months). I'm looking at the period from mid-December 2015 through the spring of 2016 as a potential time period for these cycles. They are long term cycles and need a broad orb.

The Kitchin cycle on the SP500 chart. This is a monthly chart. cycles may appear closer than when they actually due.

Other long term cycle due, including the 6.5 - 7 year.

Longer term cycles on a monthly chart of the DJIA. These need a wide orb.

The following weekly chart shows the 21 and 34 weekly moving averages and the fact price broke through both averages Also the 21 and 34 week moving averages are pointing down.

The question is, do we have a significant low in front of us. At this point I think yes and it should be late Jan / early Feb, 2016 and then potentially deeper in the spring timeframe in 2016.

Gold put in a  Primary cycle   1 trough on July 24th and it appears we had another Primary cycle trough on Dec 3rd. 2015.

This puts us entering the 7th week of the nominal 6 week cycle during this coming week. The nominal 6 week cycle has a range of 5 to 7 weeks.

Jan 8th appears to be a 6 week cycle crest from which we typically pullback into a nominal 6 week cycle low. There are 3, 6 week cycles in the nominal 18 week cycle.
Jan 14th may have been the nominal 6 week cycle low although the low could extend into the coming week but we should be close. Once the trough is in we should be moving up. Watch the fib retracements on the following chart for both support and resistance areas.

I'm expecting a bigger move in Gold later in the year, possibly at the end of the next primary cycle which may also be a 17 month cycle low. The move should be up. Again, subscribers have the potential dates. On the following daily chart we see Gold moved sideways. Friday was the 27 cd cycle and the heliocentric Venus, Jupiter formed a semi-square, an aspect that often sees a move in Gold. Jan 14th may have been the pull back low I was looking for.

This coming week of January 18th, 2016 we should be entering the 21st week or
1st week of a nominal 18 week cycle which started August 24th or the latest low on Jan 12th.

Many commodities and financials should be affected by the Saturn / Neptune waning square this year. This is a 3 pass with the last 2 occurring mid-Year and then September 2016. This is a 36 year cycle so looking back 36 years we had severe problems with the lack of crude and interest rates went over 20%. Things are never the same, but often close. I expect Crude to rise this year, although it may be later in the year and I expect some inflation later in the year. Are we at the bottom in crude? We should be close.

It is difficult to forecast Crude here with all the geopolitical events, OPEC and our climate change friends. I'll be changing focus to NatGas in the next few weeks. NatGas is very local so we'll look at NatGas prices in North America.

Looking at the crude chart we see a Primary cycle low on Aug 24 and then a crest on
Oct 9th. This is an example of a left translated cycle with the crest forming closer to the beginning trough. Left translated cycles are bearish, they simply spend more time going down than moving up.

Looking at heliocentric aspects there is  a very interesting date on January 29th, 2016 +- a few. See notes above.

Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

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  1. hi , do you accept any other payment option besides credit card.

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  3. Hi Gord, I was wondering if you could do an analysis on Gold in Canadian and Australian dollars as gold in these currencies are bullish due to the depreciating currencies. Do they follow the same primary cycle as gold in US dollars?

  4. Finding new cycles is a time consuming business. I use the visual approach, that is detrending a moving average and then centering the result. This keeps me away from Fourier Analysis, Spectral models etc. Either way is time consuming so I will put it on my list, but it won't be soon. Quickly we can say Gold in Can$ is currently near 1584 and the Can$ is an oil currency. Look at crude cycles to help forecast the price of Gold in Can$. Crude prices really effects the Can$. I can say crude is currently in either the end of a Primary cycle (21 weeks) or it's in the first week. The latter would be bullish, but we have all these geopolitical problems. I have Gold currently in the 7th week of it's Primary cycle in US$ or CAN$ terms and should be due to rise in the short term. Use $GOLD:$CDW in