Saturday, September 5, 2015

Financial Astrology - September 8, 2015

 - Our second half 2015 forecast dates are now available.
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We will be sending ALERTS to subscribers with specific dates when there are imminent trading opportunities forming. The last one is posted below this post. There was a second ALERT sent out to subscribers on Aug 24th covering most of the critical dates in September.

For the SP500, cycle-wise we are entering the 9th week of a new Primary cycle  1 cycle that started on July 7th.  This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks.

The next time band for a nominal 18 week (Primary) cycle trough is noted on the second chart of the SP500 and is from Oct 19 through Dec 1st 2015. There are a number of longer term cycles that may hit their troughs about the same time. Details on the subscriber letter.

An ALERT was sent out to subscribers on Aug 17th regarding the big move down from Aug 18th to 24th. A similar ALERT has been sent out to subscribers on Aug 24th covering key dates for September.

As this primary cycle started on July 7 and at this point made a crest on July 20th it is a very left translated and therefore quite bearish. I don't expect the high will be taken out during this nominal 18 week cycle. I'm expecting September to be very volatile and most likely we will see another sharp move. Much will depend on the FED's decision mid-month.

From an Astro perspective the forming Jupiter / Neptune opposition will be exact this month. Longer term transits like this need a trigger to set it off. This can stand for
illusion / delusion and can be either a lucky period or one of financial losses.

Two planets that should move to center stage are Saturn and Pluto. Saturn will be changing signs and will be opposing Admetos. Admetos is a trans-Neptunian point. This stands for patience, things at a standstill and depression. Saturn moves slowly. Karmic Saturn's entry into spiritual Sagittarius should have long term benefits. Saturn will lose some strength with it's entry into Sagittarius, as it will no longer be in mutual reception with Pluto.

Pluto energies should also be highlighted. Pluto is about transformation and degeneration. It is about extremes and the use or mis-use of power, including nuclear energy. In Capricorn this can stand for the people rebelling against the establishment or the "powers that be" using their power to control the people. Such control is often accomplished through fear. The Sun trines Pluto on Sept 5th. This is the trine that always occurs approx. 20 days before Pluto turns direct. Pluto direct occurs on Sept 25th and will be in focus.

Due to retrograde / direct motion (Pluto turn Direct and Mercury turning Retrograde) Mercury (the messenger) will square Pluto twice within 2 weeks, a very rare occurrence. It should be noted while Pluto energies take more of a center stage it will be opposing the Sun in the U.S. national chart. This is even more rare as this period of time is the first Pluto /  US Sun ever. Pluto moves very slowly. The Pluto / US Sun opposition has been going on since early February 2014. It should be noted, some countries that have experienced this aspect have gone through periods of massive change. This can best be described as a period of creative destruction where things are broken down in order to build up a new more functional and effective base. If you live in the U.S. this period will continue for a number of months, well into 2016. Movements like "Black Lives Mater" are a symptom of this energy.

Following is a monthly chart of the SP500 with the 7 year cycle on it. The red bars near the bottom of the cycle indicator show time period that the 7 year cycle is estimated to hit it's trough. This can be a big move down. Note the negative divergence between price and the TSI indicator on the following chart.

On the following daily chart I've noted the time period to look for a trough for this nominal 18 week cycle.

On the following chart which is the average longitude of the planets Mars through Pluto
(blue lines) converted to price. Price has fallen through a number of average price lines. We'll come back to this chart when the markets settle down.

Note the other recent OPEX dates (red circle). They have been at highs then down. Also note the red vertical lines (Fibonacci grid) which started at the Oct 15, 2014 low. The next red vertical line is Fib 233 td's from that October low. More details for subscribers.

At this point, following are the highs in the US indexes. Also noted are the dates the 50 day simple moving average crossed the 200 day sma, the so-called death cross.
DJIA               May 19, 2015 50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on Aug 11th
DJTI               Nov 28, 2014 50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on May 26th
SP500             May 20, 2015
NYSE             May 21, 2015  50 day sma crossed below the 200 day sma on Aug 11th
RUT               Jun 23, 2015
COMPQX      July 20, 2015

Another chart is the following daily chart of the SP500 with a fan indicator. The dark blue fan line is 45 degrees. The starting point is the low at March 6, 2009. The blue 45 degree line is currently at 2126. Price has broken through this line on 3 occasions recently and has now created some separation. This hasn't happened for some time. This is another bearish indicator.

And I've been waiting for this weekly chart of the SP500 with the 21 and 34 weekly moving averages to turn for some time. Another bearish indicator. The last time price broke this far below the moving averages it was October 2011 which many have picked as the 4 year cycle low.

Some of the biggest moves in the US markets have occurred when Saturn is in mutable signs. The mutable signs are Gemini, Virgo, Sagittarius and Pisces. The following monthly chart of the DJIA shows when Saturn was in mutable signs, the colored x's. As mentioned above Saturn will be entering Sagittarius this month.

And one more showing the geocentric Jupiter / Saturn square (red squares) including the following note (Every pass of the waning square between Jupiter and Saturn that has been a 3 pass has resulted in a longer term cycle unfolding between the first and last passages).

In Summary
We will have a number of trend changing aspects this month. Bear in mind the short term trend is down and the medium to longer term trend is up. Subscribers have dates where bigger moves are expected. Expect volatility and keep in mind the comments made above about Pluto and the United States natal Sun. Is creative destruction underway in the US?

Saturn and Pluto energies will be active as will Mercury which often acts as a trigger. During the Mercury retrograde period buying and selling, communications and negotiations are highlighted. This is a period where you should be careful signing agreements or any contractual commitments. This does not mean not to go ahead with anything, just be extra careful on what you are doing. Ray Merriman of MMA  has a saying for Mercury retrograde periods "Take profits too soon". Good advice.

In addition to the aspects noted above there is a Partial Solar Eclipse mid-month and a Total Lunar Eclipse late in the month. Either can cause problems both in the financial realm and geophysical events and violent whether.

We have noted specific dates for subscribers but the whole month could see volatile moves in both directions. The Jupiter/ Neptune opposition in particular can stand for illusion and delusion on a grand scale. The last opposition was a 3 pass and occurred at the 2002-2003 "W" bottom.

We could get a rebound next week from which there is a considerable move lower. An old expression is sell Rosh Hashanah and buy Yom Kippur. This may be good advice this year.

Gold put in a  Primary cycle   1 trough on March 17th. It appears we got the nominal 18 week trough on July 24th.

We are either starting the 7th week of the first cycle or just put in the trough for the first nominal 6 week cycle on Sept 4th.

I'm looking at this as still being in the first nominal 6 week cycle. We may have further to go down. We need to see Gold get above the 1162 area for a more positive outlook.A move below 1117 should be quite negative.

With the currency wars heating up Gold should eventually benefit. This may not be until the next 18 week cycle trough, that is late 2015 / early 2016. We need to see more price action for PM's over the next few weeks. I'm expecting a pullback. Gold often puts in a low while Jupiter moves through Virgo. Jupiter entered Virgo on August 11th and will be there until Sept 9, 2016.

Besides the 18 week cycle there are a number of longer term cycles due and potent aspects which have a history of turns in precious metals.

Mercury turning retrograde, mentioned above often changes the trend for Gold.

The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold started moving up when it hit the 2nd last 27 cd (calendar day) cycle (red vertical line). It appears to have started down on the next 27 cd cycle on Sept 2nd. I'm watching to see if we get support at the Venus price line.

This coming week of Sept 7th we should be entering the 3rd week of  a new nominal 18 week cycle which started August 24th.

I said to watch dates near Neptune or Jupiter aspects and the Sun was conjunct Jupiter on Aug 26th. As repeated many times, any date given should be a minimum of 2 +- td's.

If you trade crude watch price closely. We may see a left translated cycle like the current SP500 nominal 18 week above.

As seen on the following chart crude moved up to the Neptune price line (green) and bounced. Watch to see if there is resistance at the Jupiter price line (orange). Also watch mid September where we have Jupiter opposing Neptune.

The lines are 45 degrees apart. 45 degrees is (360 / 8) = 45 or also known as the 8th harmonic.

Another chart we have not shown for awhile is the weekly crude chart with the 16 week (red) and 24 week (blue) cycles. Where they meet the cycle line is green and is typically found at crests but sometimes inverts to a trough. The next green line is early November. 2015 close to a Neptune direct signature.

Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

The 2nd half 2015 dates and subscription to the monthly letter (starting in July) are available for purchase.

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