SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise we are
entering the 9th week of a new
Primary 1
cycle which started on Feb. 2nd 2015. This cycle is
aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks. There are potentially
other labeling's of this cycle, but this looks the best for now.
Price is below both the 15 and 45
day sma's and the 15 day appears to be rolling over which should put it lower
than the 45 day sma. Both of these would be bearish. We are looking at Feb 2 as
the beginning of the present Primary cycle which has had a high on Feb 25th.
This is shaping up to be a left translated cycle which would also be bearish.
From the Feb 1, 2015
market letter:
"The period
from Feb 18 through March 20th looks
particularly disruptive. This could stretch into early April".
At this point it looks like the US general market
indices will move lower for longer. This coming week we have the Total Lunar Eclipse on April 4th then
the Sun translates the slowly separating Uranus / Pluto waxing square then
Mercury does the same. With the just
released Non Farm Payrolls (very negative) and the coming transits it
appears the markets will move down further into April. Some potential dates for
a short term low are:
April 14 180 cd's (calendar days) from the mid-October 2014 lows.
April 16 Pluto stationary retrograde, Moon 0 degrees
declination, Sun quintile Kronos
April 17 Venus Out of Bounds, Mars square Jupiter
April 20 carry over from April 16, 17th.
April 21 Mars waxing trine to Pluto
Keep in mind this could be the time frame for a deeper low. Possibly testing the mid-October 2014 low.
If we are still down going into
April 21st watch for a reversal close by April 21 +- a few. It has a strong history for
a trough here.
We are not finished with the Solar
eclipse either. The points raised on the Total Solar eclipse of March 20th are
in effect for 3 to 6 months. That Solar eclipse should stress relationships
between Russia , Europe and
the USA .
It's pointing to conflict. Also, the last time there was a Solar Eclipse in
aspect to the World Point was June 21, 2001, at 0 degrees Cancer approx. 1 1/2
months before 9/11.
Video
The April 4th Lunar eclipse at 14 degrees, 24 minutes in Libra, is
conjunct the USA
chart ( Sagittarius rising chart) Saturn in Libra. It also is in square to the US Sun in
Cancer. Saturn is the planet of restriction, limitation, caution and security.
This appears to be a message with potential problems for the people and the US justice
system. More social unrest or further injustice? Libra is the sign of the
"Scales of Justice". There certainly has been some injustice,
particularly for black people and social unrest in general. We'll soon see what
this eclipse brings.
This eclipse is on the fixed star
Algorab in the constellation of Corvus. There is a link to all the fixed stars
on the blog.
Algorab
"Delays and restraint are indicated to come about by
fiascoes, losses, wrong handling of matters and enmity in general. Accidents or
injuries difficult to avoid. [Fixed
Stars and Their Interpretation, Elsbeth Ebertin, 1928, p.60.]"
This will flavor the eclipse and can
feel quite negative. The eclipse is also close to the separating Uranus / Pluto
square. So we get the feeling something is about to happen and if something
significant does occur it may be a false flag or, with Uranus and Pluto there
could be a sudden event that turns out to be fakery.
This Lunar eclipse is very similar
to the October 8th, 2014 Lunar eclipse which was at 15 degrees, 5 minutes in
Aries with the Sun at 15 degrees, 5 minutes in Libra. You may recall October
8th, 2014 the markets started to accelerate down into a low on October 15,
2014.
We have adjusted the estimate for
the next Primary (nominal 18 week) cycle
to start near June 5th, 2015 with a range from May 11th to July 6th approx.
We are looking for longer term
cycles, 4 and 6 year, to end this year or 1st quarter 2016. The 4 year should
end at a Primary cycle low which may be distorted. The 6 year may end there as
well. The troughs for the 4 and 6 year cycles will be much deeper. There are
other cycles coming due in the first half of 2015 which are reserved for
subscribers.
The SP500 moved down to the next mid-point
support/resistance level (blue line) on April 1 and bounced. The price line is
based on the average geocentric longitude of Mars, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus,
Neptune, Pluto. The average longitude is then converted to price and is seen on
the following chart.
The next price line down is at
2050 then 2004 then 1960
Also on the above chart I have shown some brief history of the Sun squared Pluto (red square) and the Sun conjunct Uranus (blue square). The markets have typically moved down on these aspects.
Using the same planets for the
mid-point support / resistance on the DJIA chart, we see price has come down to
the resistance line and stopped.
Gold
Gold appears to have put in a put in a Primary cycle 1
trough on March 17th. This was 1 td after the
Uranus / Pluto square. This puts us in the
3rd week of it's nominal 18 week during this coming week.
We have mentioned many times, the first nominal 6 week cycle
of a new Primary cycle often pulls back in the 2 - 4 week range. This often
gives a trader an opportunity to get in a market if the Primary cycle bottom
was missed. The 3 day pullback March 27, 30 and 31 looks like a good example if
we start up at some point next week.
Price is almost on the 45 day sma but broke above the 15 day
sma and the 15 sma is below the 45 day sma but pointed up. Gold should be
bullish here and probably volatile. There are other aspects coming up in
mid-year that are positive for Gold. We may hit resistance over the next couple
of weeks but the bigger moves should come later in the year.
The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus
(green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold moved down to the Venus price line
(green) and bounced off it. I'm watching the 1221 area for Gold as it may
encounter still resistance at the dark Jupiter price line. Also note the
Commodity Channel Index(9) appears to be rolling over. This is a daily chart
and therefore a short term indicator.
Crude
This coming week of April
6 we should be entering the 10th
week of a Primary cycle which started Jan
29, 2015 and may have put in a nominal 6 week trough on March 18th. There
was a lot of volatility in currencies the last few days and the US $
may have caused the rise in crude and some other commodities. If this was the 6
week trough, crude should be bullish short term. I'm not 100% if this was a 6
week low yet. Watch closely early in the week. Crude is sitting on the 45 day
sma and the 15 day is lower than price and the 45 day sma. This could be
bearish.
Watch the days around April
6, April 8th and April 16th, 17th. Jupiter and Neptune
co-rule crude while Pluto is relevant because it rules hidden things and things
from the ground.
With the other negative Astrological aspects and events
crude may continue being very volatile over the next few weeks. Iran and other geopolitical events Saudi/Yemen
could affect crude prices quickly as will the US $ gyrations.
As seen on the following chart the Neptune
price line (green) gave resistance and crude pulled back to the Jupiter price
line (orange) where it has found both support and resistance in the recent
past. If crude is bullish it should break above the 53.75 area. This needs a
few more days of price action to determine if we are in the 2nd nominal 6 week
cycle. Until we break above the 53.75 area crude may continue side-ways
consolidation.
Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude
also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?
The 1st half 2015
dates and subscription to the weekly letter are available.
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