We are entering the 7th week of the Primary cycle 1 (nominal 18 week) which started on Aug 7th. There are potentially a number of longer term cycles due in the next couple of months. September has a number of intermediate cycles due. We have just put in the first Major cycle Primary cycle with the low on Sept 15th.
I thought the above mentioned low would be deeper due to the 224 cd (calendar day) cycle being due as well. I was expecting to get down to the 1,970 area in the SP500 which was the 38.2% retracement level.
From the blog post 2 weeks ago.
" I've noted on the chart when we could expect the Major cycle to trough out, that is the weeks of 9/15/2014 to 9/26/2014."
224 cd (calendar day) cycle
So normally the SP500 should be back in bullish mode as it starts it's 2nd Major cycle of the Primary cycle.
I said normally because we have a number of Astrological events that have a history of occurring around trend changes. These start next week and carry on through to Oct 23, the partial Solar eclipse.
Subscribers have the dates, specific Astrological details and historical charts showing the history of the coming main Astrological events. These were in last weeks weekly letter.
Also note I've added the Lunar (blue squares) and Solar Eclipses (red squares) to the SP500 chart. These need a range of +- a few days and their effects can be much longer, particularly the Solar eclipse. In this case the Lunar eclipse is tied into a Sept 25th aspect. The Lunar Eclipse is on October 8th and the Solar Eclipse October 23rd. More on this in the subscribers letter.
From last weeks blog post:
"The astrological aspect of significance this week is Venus in waning trine to Pluto on Sept 14th. It has a history of coinciding with Major cycles within 5 trading days and maybe marking the trough of the current Major cycle."
Note the Major cycle low was on Sept 15th.
Also from last weeks blog post:
"Mars entering Sagittarius on September 13th can result in wild price swings, particularly the week of Sept 22nd where we have other significant aspects. Martian energy (fight or flight) heats up Sagittarius, a mutable fire sign, starting September 13."
Mars will be in Sagittarius until October 26th. Expect volatility in many markets.
Of immediate importance is Mars will be in waning square to
soon after entering Sagittarius on Sept 21. This is a signature of exaggeration
and false rumors that may be designed to incite hysteria. Remember Neptune is illusion and delusion. False flag events come to mind.
The Pluto and Uranus waxing square will be coming back into focus over the coming weeks. It will be exact on Dec 15. This will be the 6th exact square in this series of 7 exact squares. The last square in this series is March 16, 2015. The period around both these dates, Dec 15, 2014 and March 16, 2015 could be troublesome on the world stage and the financial markets in particular.
I view this aspect as the aspect which has given rise to many of the world's difficult events over the past couple of years. This is a very long term aspects and I give it +- 1 month in orb. It is an aspect that colors the background history for a number of years. We have covered the Uranus Pluto in waxing square extensively in previous posts. We will do so again as we get closer.
The month of September has two very powerful aspects. I'm going to mention one here as it demonstrates an Astrological principle. That is, all aspects between two planets are part of a cycle. The cycles always starts with a conjunction, then the faster moving planet starts to separate from the slower moving planet and start making other aspects.
Late in the month there is Jupiter in waxing trine to Uranus. A trine is a 120 degree aspect. The waxing trine is the first trine of a new cycle. There are three trines
(ex. 360 / 3 = 120). There is a waxing trine aspect at 120 degrees and a waning trine aspect at 240 degrees.
Following is a monthly chart showing the history of the Jupiter Uranus in waxing trine.
On this monthly chart of the SP500 the red circles are the dates of the Jupiter Uranus trine. Note, sometimes there are 3 aspects close together. This occurs when the planets involved are going retrograde. The one coming up is a 3 pass. I'm including a shorter term chart for subscribers since the monthly chart hides shorter term activity and Jupiter Uranus contacts are very strong.
The Jupiter in waxing trine to Uranus aspect which is exact on Sept 25th will be joined by Mars in early October making this a grand trine. All planets will be in fire sign, Mars in Sagittarius, Jupiter in Leo, and Uranus in Aries. That's a lot of fire energy. If we don't blow the world up with awesome fire power this could represent a startling breakthrough in some field of activity. Freedom will be emphasized. People (including leaders) should think and then think again before they rush into a decision.
Following is one of the weekly charts given to subscribers. It shows the last time this aspect (waxing trine) and a three pass occurred. It was October 1987.
Following is a chart of what I believe is the main catalyst for the huge rise in the general markets. It's the FED QE 1,2,3 and low interest rates.
In summary I am looking for market volatility for 5 to 6 weeks. There are a number of aspects occurring over the coming week which may indicate a period of sharp ups and downs. This may result in a broad market correction, not necessarily a crash. Watch the
and other currencies closely. US
Gold is in the 16th week of it's Primary cycle (nominal 18 week). Note, the range of the Primary cycle for Gold is 15-21 weeks. Gold broke through the bottom of the symmetrical triangle (light blue) and has continued down in a free fall.
There are many rumors of Gold manipulation conducted by the
US and EU. At
the same time China and Russia are
accumulating Gold in large quantities. There are also rumors the US does not
have the Gold they claim.
Leaving aside rumors there are 2 Astrological events coming up with a record of a change in trend for Gold. The first one is Pluto turning direct on Monday. This has a record of a change in trend in Gold which typically takes hold within 6 td's after the exact date. There is a second Astrological event in the week of Sept 29th.
At the present time it appears many commodities are in a deflationary period. See crude further down.
I've been working on the premise that June 28, 2013 was the 4.5 year cycle low in Gold and Dec 31, 2013 was a retest. If Gold goes below 1180 we may be seeing the 4.5 year low unfolding now.
Shanghai will be opening a Gold exchange I
believe this will be Sept 26th but I do not have the details.
This being the 16th week in Gold with a max of 21 weeks means we should have a Gold cycle trough on or before the last week in October at the latest. Remember next week.
Silver is in the 17th week of it's Primary cycle. Like Gold we are lower in price than at the start of the Primary cycle on May 30, 2014. The Primary cycle is also left translated, which is bearish. Watch this week. There's not much positive I could say about Silver here but let's try.
Silver is below the 200 level in the CCI (Commodity channel index), a level from which Silver often makes a move higher within a couple of weeks. It is also sitting on the 1.236 Fib level for the move up from May 30, 2014 to July 11, 2014.
We are in the 21st week of the Primary cycle in crude or just starting a new Primary cycle. The Primary cycle in crude is 18-19 weeks with a range of 15-23 weeks. We should be getting close to a trough. If a new Primary cycle appears it will be bullish for the next few weeks. If not a Primary it could go down further. Like Gold, Silver and commodities in general, Crude seems to be in a deflationary period at least partly attributable to the high US$. I'm referring to WTIC crude. The current cycle was very left translated which is bearish.
On a longer term basis, Crude could drop to the 85.00/CL area in the 4th quarter of 2014
It should be noted there is a 38-39 month cycle in crude, many commodities and the
The longer term cycles need a wider orb. This cycle could trough out from now
to early November. It could also be this week. The following weekly chart shows
the 38/39 month cycle in crude.
Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers.