Saturday, January 7, 2012

Longer Term Cycles

Beyond the astrological cycles the market itself appears to follow distinct long and shorter term cycles.

The following monthly logarithmic chart of the DJIA shows an approximate 17.6 year cycle with alternating up and down segments. Down means the end value will be lower than the starting value.

The current segment which started in 2000 ends approx. 2017 and should be lower than the 2000 start.

As noted on the chart this cycle appears more powerful when put on an inflation adjusted chart.












A long term astrological cycle will be hitting in the June / July timeframe. That is the waxing square of Uranus and Pluto and will be with us until 2015 with 7 direct hits due to retrograde motion.

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