Saturday, May 23, 2015

Financial Astrology May 25, 2015


SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise we are entering the 16th week of the Primary  1 cycle which started on Feb. 2nd 2015.  This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks.



Being the 16th week we should be looking for the crest in the Primary / nominal 18 week cycle. May 20th could have been the crest. If not the dates around May 29 - June 2nd are possible crest dates +- 2 td's

On the above chart price has broken out of the symmetrical triangle we have been following but appears stalled, perhaps due to this being close to a Primary cycle crest.

The brown line making ups and downs is an adjusted Bradley indicator (Bradley-Shramenko). This indicates a short term change in trend is due almost immediately and another, possibly longer term change due near June 8th. Keep in mind the indicator does not indicate polarity, that means, the indicator just identifies there is going to be a change in trend but does indicate direction (up or down). Give it +- 3 td's (trading days).

Video

From last weeks market letter
"As a whole we should be looking at a potentially violent period over the next couple of weeks with the weight of the signatures pointing to a market that should move down. The question over the next 2 weeks is do we move down this coming week or does it wait until after Memorial Day? Do we get a violent event on Memorial day?

I'm looking for a short but sharp move down then continuing up in June with a potential high around June 22 when Jupiter trines Uranus."

From Waco to the mid-East and ISIS, we saw violence.

The SP500 went sideways while the DJIA, NYSE and RUT seemed to be moving lower late in the week.

I'm looking for continued strife, discord and controversy next week along with potential confusion as Mercury Retrograde continues it's backward trip through Gemini. Changeability should be a key, that is, things will change quickly. Towards the end of the week we will approach the mid-point of the retrograde period and the Sun / Mercury conjunction on May 30. This is the inferior conjunction and therefore also the heliocentric conjunction between the Sun and Mercury. Any markets that did not change during the beginning of the retrograde could see a change around the Sun / Mercury conjunction. The following chart has some history. The red arrow pointing left is the retrograde date, the blue arrow pointing right is the direct date, the red dot is the geocentric Sun / Mercury conjunction and the blue dot is the heliocentric Sun / Mercury conjunction.



This Mercury retrograde period is occurring in Gemini, a mutable air sign which Mercury rules. Mercury also rules communication, commerce and trading, that is buying and selling. It has a reputation for problems, both communication and contracts. Ray Merriman of MMA has a saying for Mercury retrograde periods, that is "Take profits too soon". That meaning, if you have made a profit don't wait until you hit resistance, get out.

The Mercury retrograde period is known to be volatile. In this instance we also have Mercury moving back from Out of Bounds, adding to the potential for increased volatility. ( see previous posts for a description of "Out of Bounds") Also, with Mars in Gemini (war of words or real war?) volatility should increase.

The coming two weeks have a number of significant Astrological signatures.  Starting on May 21st through June 14th there are 10 aspects which could effect the financial markets and events in general. Other events may include shootings, accidents, fires and violence due to religious matters. Geophysical (earthquakes, volcanoes) could also increase.

The 224/225 cd cycle is still active. It was exact on April 29th but needs a broad orb of influence. The markets did go down from April 27th to May 6th but I had expected a deeper low. As seen in the history of the following chart this cycle (red vertical lines) has been very reliable in identifying moves both up and down. I expected a larger move down.



There is also a 168 td cycle hitting on May 22 but has an orb of influence from May 14th to June 15th. Note the blue vertical lines on the following chart are at approx. 168 td increments and have typically been at intermediate tops. Also note the brown line, the Bradley Shramenko has a turn on May 22 and June 8th. As noted above we've been looking for a short, sharp move down then up into late June where we have the Jupiter trine Uranus aspect.

The last few weeks we have mentioned Venus being "Out of Bounds" OOB. Venus comes back in bounds on June 2 very close to Mars going "Out of Bounds". Another potentially volatile signature and potential change in trend.

One of the aspect coming up is Neptune turning retrograde. Neptune is in a powerful position in Pisces, the sign that it rules. Neptune rules crude, natural gas, water, beliefs (religious beliefs?), socialism, communism, left-wing politics, fraud, misinformation, swindling, loss and vice, the soul and psychic connections. It is in each sign approx. 13-14 years but it varies quite a bit due to retrograde motion. Neptune will be hit by a square from Mars and a square from the Sun before the retrograde period. June 11 is Mercury turning direct and June 12th Neptune retrograde. Both have a history of trickery, lack of truth and make it difficult determining what is going on in all walks of life and places. This could also mark a change in trend.



We are looking for longer term cycles, 4 and 6 year, to end this year or 1st quarter 2016. The 4 year should end at a Primary cycle low which may be distorted. The 6 year may end there as well. The troughs for the 4 and 6 year cycles will be much deeper. There are other cycles coming due in the first half of 2015 which are reserved for subscribers.


Gold
Gold appears to have put in a put in a Primary cycle   1 trough on March 17th. This was 1 td after the Uranus / Pluto square. This puts us entering the 10th week of the nominal 18 week during this coming week.  

Last week Gold put in a high on Monday May 18th, the same day as Mercury turning retrograde and then headed down. This may have been the crest of the nominal 18 week cycle. This was also 2 td's from the time Fib of 2.618 noted on previous posts. This was based on the move down in Gold from October 2012 to June 2013.

Heliocentric Mercury in Sagittarius usually is a period of volatility in Gold and other PM's as well. This time heliocentric Mercury enters Sagittarius on May 27 through June 7th.

We are monitoring another cycle for Gold which will hit in the summer but reserved for subscribers.
As noted last week, Mercury retrograde has a strong history of changes in trend for Gold close to the retrograde date.

If we have just seen the crest Gold should be moving down from here for a few weeks, potentially a couple of months. This would be opposite the US buck. With the Astrological aspects Gold may be very volatile, like the main market indices.



The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold broke back down through the Venus price line and meandering sideways the last few days. As I have pointed out many times before, when the heliocentric Venus and Jupiter price lines cross there is often a sudden move in Gold. They next cross on May 25th which has heliocentric Venus semisquare Jupiter.



Crude
This coming week of May 25 we should be entering the 10th week of a Primary cycle which started Mar 18, 2015. Note, I have changed the count from the previous weeks posts to reflect the Primary cycle stating at the low on March 18, The previous low on Jan 29th is noted as a double bottom.

I'm watching the dates around any Neptune aspects and the Neptune retrograde date. Like stocks and Gold, crude could be very volatile for the next few weeks.

Other Astrological dates are reserved for subscribers.

Crude appears to have put in a "W" bottom. Since the shooting star doji on May 6th Crude has been in sideways consolidation. Crude, like other commodities is being affected by the US$ moves.



As seen on the following chart the Jupiter price line (orange) gave support and Neptune (green) gave resistance. I'm waiting to see if the Jupiter price line is broken (down move) or is the Neptune price line is broken (up). If we have seen the crest on May 6th we may be moving down.




Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?


The 2nd half 2015 dates and subscription to the monthly letter are available. 

Saturday, May 16, 2015

Financial Astrology - May 18, 2015


SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise we are entering the 15th week of the Primary  1 cycle which started on Feb. 2nd 2015.  This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks.



Being the 15th week we should start to look for the crest in the Primary / nominal 18 week cycle. Statistically the days around May 15th and May 21st would be good timing for a primary cycle crest.

From last weeks market letter
" Other charts and factors which point to something more negative are the 224/225 cd cycle and the Saturn sesquisquare Uranus, exact on May 4th there may be a significant change in direction, possibly instigated by a surprise event. "

"In summary I expect an increase in violent war like activity. Some of these events could occur on American soil over the next couple of weeks. We are in a period of stress which will be affected by the Mars Saturn opposition on May 15th +- a few. This is also OPEX, option expiry day which is normally volatile and difficult to predict."

Although we went down the first 3 days of the week, Thursday was a big up day and has moved price out of the symmetrical triangle as it approaches the end of the pattern. A surprise move due to the one day size of the move but not the surprise event I was looking for.

I'm looking for violence to be more extreme, if that is possible. This coming week we should see more senseless violence, anger and grief, violent weather and possibly more geophysical disturbances.

On the above chart price has broken out of the symmetrical triangle we have been following. I like to follow moves in 3's so I'm looking for price to stay above the triangle for a minimum of 3 td's, a feat the SP500 has been unable to do for the past few weeks.

Although the Saturn sesquisquare Uranus signature is slowly moving out of orb the 224/225 cd cycle is still active. As seen in the history of the following chart this cycle (red vertical lines) has been very reliable in identifying moves both up and down. I expected a larger move down and still do.



This week we have Mercury turning retrograde on May 18th. The inferior conjunction between Mercury and the Sun occurs on May 29th and Mercury turns direct again on June 11th. Since this is the inferior conjunction it is also the heliocentric conjunction between the Sun and Mercury.

As a reminder the two planets inside the Earth's orbit are Mercury and Venus. Both can have inferior and superior conjunctions depending on whether they are on the Earth;s side of the Sun or the far side of the Sun.

Inferior conjunction


Superior conjunction


The following chart shows Mercury retrograde (red arrow pointing left), Mercury turning direct (blue arrow pointing right), the geocentric inferior conjunction (small red circle) and the heliocentric conjunction (small blue circle) on the same day. Note the swings in the SP500 on any of those dates in the past.



This Mercury retrograde period is occurring in Gemini, a mutable air sign which Mercury rules. Mercury also rules communication, commerce and trading, that is buying and selling. It has a reputation for problems, both communication, contracts and wrong decisions or choices. Ray Merriman of MMA has a saying for Mercury retrograde periods, that is "Take profits too soon". That meaning, if you have made a profit, don't wait until you hit resistance, get out.

The Mercury retrograde period is known to be volatile. In this instance we also have Mercury moving back from Out of Bounds, adding to the potential for increased volatility. Also, with Mars in Gemini (war of words or real war?) volatility should increase.

The last few weeks we have mentioned Venus being "Out of Bounds" OOB. Venus comes back in bounds on June 2 very close to Mars going "Out of Bounds".

There are other transits hitting May 20th through the end of the month which are reserved for subscribers. I will mention May 21 and May 25 where Venus translates the separating Uranus / Pluto square. It is still close.

I'm looking for a short but sharp move down then continuing up in June with a potential high around June 22 when Jupiter trines Uranus. The question is, do we get the move down this coming week or after Memorial day? Do we get a violent event on Memorial day?

We are looking for longer term cycles, 4 and 6 year, to end this year or 1st quarter 2016. The 4 year should end at a Primary cycle low which may be distorted. The 6 year may end there as well. The troughs for the 4 and 6 year cycles will be much deeper. There are other cycles coming due in the first half of 2015 which are reserved for subscribers.


Gold
Gold appears to have put in a put in a Primary cycle   1 trough on March 17th. This was 1 td after the Uranus / Pluto square. This puts us entering the 9th week of the nominal 18 week during this coming week.  

Last weeks action has changed the short term outlook for Gold. With the surge in Gold on May 13th Gold has put in a new high for this Primary / nominal 18 week cycle. Prior to this week Gold had a very left translated cycle which was bearish. With a new hogh and potential for more Gold's cycle will be neutral or right translated which would be bullish.

Mercury retrograde (see notes above) has a strong history of changes in trend close to the retrograde date. The move last week could have been it or it is dead ahead.

Gold has now moved above the key retracement areas mentioned the last few weeks around 1218-1219. Again I would like to see 3 closes above this area.

On May 20th we hit the 2.618 time Fib based on the move down in Gold from Oct. 2012 to June 2013. Fib times often mark a move in PM's both up and down. Surprisingly Venus in opposition to Pluto on May 21st has had an inconsistent history with moves in Gold prices.

Gold made some positive moves last week but watch the May 20th date for a potential reversal. Remember the +- 2 td's.



The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold broke above the Venus price line and now sits just below the Jupiter price line (blue). The Jupiter price line is currently at 1225 and should act as resistance.



I still expect Gold to weaken very soon and be down until late June / early July. Currently this depends on a reversal up for the US$. As mentioned above watch May 20th. Mid-year or shortly thereafter should be positive for Gold

Crude
This coming week of May 18 we should be entering the 15th week of a Primary cycle which started Jan 29, 2015 and appears to have put in a nominal 6 week trough on March 18th.
Crude appears to have put in a "W" bottom. Since the shooting star doji on May 6th Crude has been in sideways consolidation. Price has just moved below the 15 day sma. This being the 15th week we may have seen the crest of the nominal 18 week cycle. Watch for support at the 23.6% retracement around 57.50. Crude, like other commodities is being affected by the US$ moves.



As seen on the following chart the Jupiter price line (orange) gave support late in the week. If this support fails the Neptune price line (green), which has been support / resistance in the past is at the 56.40 area. If we have seen the crest on May 6th we may be moving down.




Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

The 1st half 2015 dates and subscription to the weekly letter are available.


Saturday, May 9, 2015

Financial Astrology - May 11, 2015


SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise we are entering the 14th week of the Primary  1 cycle which started on Feb. 2nd 2015.  This cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks.



Being the 14th week we should start to look for the crest in the Primary / nominal 18 week cycle.
Statistically the days around May 15th and May 21st would be good timing for a primary cycle crest / trough.

From last weeks market letter

"... the 3 pass of this Saturn sesquisquare Uranus aspect (solid red squares). This, with the 224 cd cycle above should have a strong effect on the financial markets and world events. This is a 3 pass with May 4th as the next exact date. Both the 224 cd cycle and this aspect should point the general indices down"

And we went down Monday through Thursday with a great deal of volatility, also forecast. Friday was the jobs report which set off a reversal up that covered the weeks losses.

On the above chart watch price action around the top of the symmetrical triangle and the all time high currently at April 27th at 2125.92. The 224/225 cd cycle is still in effect as is the Saturn sesquisquare Uranus signature and I expect more of a move down. This coming Friday is OPEX, option expiry, often a volatile day.

The coming few weeks have a number of signatures that point to a pick up in war and aggressive geopolitical activity. Monday Mars moves into Gemini, a mutable air sign and there are difficult aspects in the Mars cycle chart. Tuesday, Mars is sesquisquare Pluto a signature of aggressive dominance. Mars is also in opposition to Saturn, exact on Friday May 15th, may add restraint and denial of aggressive instincts. This tension must find a release typically by an event or change in the status quo. Watch for this in the markets and general mundane events.

This coming week could be very tense. Mars and Saturn are classic war aspects where Mars aggressive energies are blocked by Saturn creating a situation of explosive frustration. Which one of the world's hot spots will be effected is difficult to forecast but don't discount the US homeland, either a terrorist threat or internal conflict. The tension should last for a few weeks.
The last few weeks we have mention Venus being "Out of Bounds" OOB starting April 17. Venus will continue to be "Out of Bounds" until early June which should bring volatility and sometimes the trend in the market, which changed near the Venus "Out of Bounds", continues until Venus comes back in bounds. That occurs on June 2 very close to Mars going "Out of Bounds".

There are other transits hitting May 4th. Mercury will go OOB on May 3rd will join Venus, both being "Out of Bounds" by declination. While Venus stands for money Mercury stands for commerce and trading. This may emphasize volatility we may see in the markets over the next few weeks. Mercury comes back in bounds on May 20th.

On May 9th Mars will be conjunct the trans-Neptunian point of Admetos. From Witte's "Rules for Planetary Pictures" this can mean a sinking of the market, suppression, terror, rawness and debris. Watch for mundane or market events that would tie into the above statements. This aspect is going to exact as Mars approaches Saturn. Suppression of something seems to be in focus. Could it be suppression of the truth? This aspect gives further credence to a move down in the markets. There could be a surge up or down near the Monday opening.

We are looking for longer term cycles, 4 and 6 year, to end this year or 1st quarter 2016. The 4 year should end at a Primary cycle low which may be distorted. The 6 year may end there as well. The troughs for the 4 and 6 year cycles will be much deeper. There are other cycles coming due in the first half of 2015 which are reserved for subscribers.

We are still in a period of violent weather, geophysical disturbances and geomagnetic storms, the latter due to Sun spot activity.

Gold
Gold appears to have put in a put in a Primary cycle   1 trough on March 17th. This was 1 td after the Uranus / Pluto square. This puts us entering the 8th week of the nominal 18 week during this coming week.  

Last weeks action did nothing to improve Gold's outlook. Of the upcoming transits Mars sesquisquare Pluto on May 12th has been negative for Gold although there could be a small bounce first.

Gold needs to move above the 1189.49 then 1200.86 then a new high for this 18 week cycle. If moving down, which I suspect at this point, 1171.10 could be support level. These levels are based on the retracement of the move up from March 18th to March 26th, which started this cycle.

On May 20th we hit the 2.618 time Fib based on the move down in Gold from Oct. 2012 to June 2013. Fib times often mark a move in PM's both up and down. Surprisingly Venus in opposition to Pluto on May 21st has had an inconsistent history with moves in Gold prices. All in all Gold looks like it may continue sideways consolidation or down.

It's quite possible the April 6th high is the high of this nominal 18 week cycle which would mean Gold will be headed down for quite a few weeks in an extremely left translated cycle which is quite negative.



The following daily Gold chart shows the heliocentric Venus (green) and Jupiter (blue) price lines. Gold broke below the Venus price line and now sits on the Jupiter price line (blue). The Jupiter price line is currently at 1179.83 and may act as support.



As pointed out a couple of weeks ago, Gold is also in a forming Head and Shoulders pattern with currently a weaker right shoulder which may make this pattern more powerful. The green neckline shows support / resistance and it is currently around the 1147 area.



I expect Gold to weaken very soon and be down until late June / early July at the earliest. As mentioned, mid-year or shortly thereafter should be more positive for Gold. A move down from here would be very left translated and quite negative.

Crude
This coming week of May 11 we should be entering the 15th week of a Primary cycle which started Jan 29, 2015 and appears to have put in a nominal 6 week trough on March 18th.
Crude appears to have put in a "W" bottom. This past week we had a "Shooting Star Doji on May 6th and moved down after that. This being the 15th week we may have seen the crest of the nominal 18 week cycle. Watch for support at the 23.6% retracement around 57.50. Crude, like other commodities is being affected by the US$ moves.



As seen on the following chart the Jupiter price line (orange) gave support late in the week. If this support fails the Neptune price line (green), which has been support / resistance in the past is at the 56.50 area. If we have seen the crest on May 6th we should be moving down. The drums of war mentioned above could quickly change the prospects for the price of crude.




Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?


The 1st half 2015 dates and subscription to the weekly letter are available. 


PayPal - Subscription - Please ensure to include your eMail address