Saturday, February 6, 2016

Financial Astrology - February 8, 2016

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SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise Jan 20th looks like it was the Primary cycle trough.  1 cycle that started on Aug 24th. The start of a new Primary cycle is usually the most bullish part of the cycle. We often get a pullback 2-3 weeks after the start of a new Primary cycle which provides an opportunity to get on board if you missed the cycle low. The Primary cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week has a range of 15 to 21 weeks.



I may play this next week as there are some favorable Astrological aspects coming up but first we need to see some upward price action. At this point this nominal 18 week cycle looks anything but normal. A test or close below the Jan 20th lows would result in a very left translated cycle which would be very bearish. On the up-side the high of Feb 1st at 1947.20 must be taken out.

In our cycle work we use td (trading days) and cd (calendar day) cycles. Feb 5th was
180 td's from the "All Time High" on May 20, 2015 at 2134.72.  This is basic GANN work which we'll use many times. The 180 td cycle from a high often results in a low 180 td's later and vice versa.

Feb 5th also had a significant transit, Venus conjunct Pluto. This was part of Venus translating the Uranus / Pluto square, a square which has been on-going for a few years and will be slowly dissipating over the next few months. Venus completes the translation on Feb 6th when Venus squares Uranus. Among other things Venus is money and Pluto is debt. Pluto can also stand for big wealth and Gold, as it rules things from the ground.

The Uranus / Pluto square will be replaced by the Saturn / Neptune square. A summary of these longer term transits is included further down. Although this weekend has some harsh aspect (i.e. Sun squared Mars just before a New Moon) there are other more positive aspects coming up like Venus trine Jupiter and trine the North Node on Feb 10th. Whenever I quote a date always assume it is +- 2td's unless otherwise stated. The universe appears to have a little more cosmic flux than most people think. Some of the longer term aspects will be +- 2 months.

The New Moon is very close to the 9:30 am opening in New York. All New Moon are the start of a new cycle. This New Moon is square to Mars and sextile to Uranus. There is a quincunx between Mars and Uranus. This New Moon requires a change to be implemented. Something is not working. Mars is in Scorpio a Fixed, Water sign while Uranus is in Aries, a Cardinal, Fire sign. There is nothing in common between these two planets which are aspecting the New Moon and each other. Watch for some type of change ideally next week or at some point during this New Moon. Best before the next Full Moon.

The week following next, Feb 15 has a 45 cd cycle which also started on May 20th, 2015. This cycle has marked very reliable CIT's (Change In Trend) since May 20th. I was expecting Feb 15th to be a high with the SP500, and other US major indices following with a low near the end of the month. The 45 cd cycle is shown below. It's a daily chart of the SP500. The purple vertical lines are the 45 cd cycle. This is referred to as an 8th harmonic cycle, simply 360 / 8 = 45. Note: This cycle has been very reliable since May 20, 2015 and found at both highs and lows. The high I was expecting depends on next weeks price action and will be updated next week.



From last weeks blog post;
"Other dates to watch this coming week are Feb 4th where there is Mercury parallel Saturn and Feb 5, 6th where Venus will translate the Uranus / Pluto square, Venus conjunct Pluto on Feb 5th and Venus squared Uranus on Feb 6th."

I believe we are close to longer term cycle bottoms, both the 6.5 - 7 year cycle and the Kitchin cycle, 3.3 years (or 40 months). Assuming January 20th was not it, then we may see a left translated cycle, that is a Primary cycle which forms it's crest in the first half of the cycle. This is a bearish sign. Look for this over the next 9 weeks. Subscribers have the time-frame where I think we will have a more significant low. Before we get to that low there may be a low or financial disruption around Feb, 26th. This is a possibility at this point, not definite.

See the following VIDEO. Possibly Important


To summarize the above:
Volatility should remain. Next week looks volatile to start but should settle down, (bounce ?) ,Tuesday / Wednesday and rising into the Feb 15th date where we expect a high. If the markets don't recover, then Feb 15th could be a significant low. Difficult week to call. I'm looking for a high Feb 15th as it feeds into my thoughts for the end of the month where I was expecting a low. A review of the 45 cd cycle above shows the cycle appears at highs and lows.

With the sharp market moves down we should consider one or more of the longer term cycles are coming down to enter their trough. Note the longer term charts we have shown for many months, specifically the Kitchin cycle (40 months) and the 6.5- 7 year cycle. The longer term cycles typically pull everything down with them. This can be a process that takes many months when only looking at the longer term cycle charts. They can also distort the normal rhythm of the 18 week cycle. I'm looking in the April / May time frame for a more significant low.

With these longer term cycles we use the Astrological aspects and Astro events to determine a more exact time. Longer term geocentric Astrological cycles include:

Uranus waning square Pluto
- passed the exact but still in orb (1 degree). This square will slowly dissipate over this year.
Remember what this square is about.
"This aspect has a historical association between anarchic uprisings and problems   with debt and Banks. The debt issue will have major negative consequences for all financial markets.

Other events associated with this square are protest movements, social unrest and perhaps mob violence. Tax revolts fit in as well. The square is about tearing down         the old structures (governments, financial institutions) and building anew.            Although Uranus is about sudden change and surprises, Pluto is about long term changes that will not be undone. It is ruthless in it’s force to change the status quo. We are only 1 degree away from the exact Uranus and Pluto square."

Jupiter waning square Saturn
- in the middle of a 3 pass, 2 exact hits to come this year
"The business cycle and direct effect on European history. Major changes will be occurring in Europe as result of the refuge migration. There is a major sign change coming up when Jupiter and Saturn are conjunct in 2020. More on this 240 year conjunction in a future post."
           
Saturn square Neptune
-in the middle of a 3 pass, 2 exact hits to come this year
"This aspect is often present near times when there is a change in trend for interest rates or inflation. It can also be a period of epidemics, pandemics suffering, depression and money valuation problems. This could be a change in the world's reserve currency or issues around it. A large increase in precious metals is also possible as it is a money valuation issue. This 36 year aspect has been associated with political changes, reforms and development of socialism. One wonders in regards to epidemics and sickness, would this be natural illnesses or man-made." If you feel depressed or not at ease this aspect may be the cause. One of these planets may be hitting a planet in your horoscope.

On the following chart, the red squares are Jupiter square Saturn. An ideal spot for a significant low would be between the last 2 red squares at March 23rd to May 26th. Note the green squares also. These are the Saturn / Neptune exact squares and the middle square is very close to the last Jupiter / Saturn square.



For 2016 we have Jupiter, Saturn, Neptune and the North Node in mutable signs. In addition both Solar eclipses are in mutable signs. Mutable signs are about flexibility and the ability or need to change.

Saturn is in Sagittarius which rules the law, religion, philosophy and science. With the square to Neptune is a good signal for a religious message that gets perverted. It's a time period where things seen depressing.

Two charts we have not shown for a while. The first is a weekly chart of the SP500. The horizontal blue lines are the average longitude of the planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto. This average is converted to price and displayed on this chart. Notice how well it has acted as support and resistance. The vertical black lines are the 55 td  cycle. Will the SP500 reach the next level at 1968 or fall back to 1878. If it's a new 18 week cycle I suspect it will move up.



The other chart we haven't shown for a while is this Fan which started on March 6, 2009 at the low. The dark blue line has acted as support most of the way up. It is the 50% line or 45 degrees. The red line we have just touched is 61.8%. It hasn't been touched since Oct. 2011. The black vertical lines are 512 cd's (calendar days) which next falls on March 9, just one day away from a powerful Solar Eclipse. More on this next week.



Other longer term cycles that may be close to seeing their lows in the next couple of months are the 6.5 - 7 year cycle and the Kitchin cycle (40 months). I'm looking at the period from now through the spring of 2016 as a potential time period for these cycles. They are long term cycles and need a broad orb.

Following is the Kitchin cycle on the SP500 chart. This is a monthly chart. cycles may appear closer than when they actually due. The Kitchin cycle is 1/4 of the
synodic Jupiter / Uranus cycle.



Other long term cycle due, including the 6.5 - 7 year.



The following weekly chart shows the 21 and 34 weekly moving averages and the fact price broke through both averages Also the 21 and 34 week moving averages are pointing down.

The question is, do we have a significant low in front of us. At this point I think yes.  I'm thinking potentially deeper in the spring timeframe in 2016.



The next couple of months may see more significant geophysical activity and terrorist events.

"It's a poor sort of memory that only works backwards"
-- Lewis Carroll, The White Queen, Through the Looking-Glass

Gold
Gold put in a  Primary cycle   1 trough on July 24th and we had another Primary cycle trough on Dec 3rd. 2015.

This puts us entering the 10th week of the Primary cycle and entering the 4th week of the 2nd nominal 6 week cycle during this coming week. The nominal 6 week cycle has a range of 5 to 7 weeks.

Jan 8th appears to be a 6 week cycle crest from which we typically pullback into a nominal 6 week cycle low which appears to be Jan 14th. There are often. 3, 6 week cycles in the nominal 18 week cycle.

As we've mentioned before Mars in Scorpio often results in big moves in Gold both up and down. Mars entered Scorpio on Jan 3, 2016 and will leave Scorpio for Sagittarius on March 5, 2016. Due to retrograde motion Mars will be back in Scorpio later in the year.

Watch the fib retracements on the following chart for both support and resistance areas.



Heliocentric (Sun centered rather than Geocentric which is Earth centered) Mercury enters Sagittarius. Feb 15th and will be there until Feb 26th. This is very often a volatile period for precious metals. If Gold has continued to advance the time period around Feb 15th could be a high for Gold.

The following daily chart for Gold shows the heliocentric Mercury in Sagittarius (red x's). It also has a 22 cd cycle you can see in the bottom right area of the chart (orange vertical lines). If active it hits Feb 8th. Watch for Gold pullback.



I'm expecting a bigger move in Gold later in the year, possibly at the end of this Primary cycle which may also be a 17 month cycle low. The move should be up. Again, subscribers have the potential dates.

On the following daily chart we see Gold had a low on Jan 15th (27cd cycle) then moved up into Feb 5th where it rests close to the Jupiter price line (blue line) . The price lines take the longitudinal position converted to price. Venus and Jupiter have provided good support and resistance. The 27 cd cycle hits again on Feb 11th (red vertical lines). This is a potential pullback area. We are also just over the 200 day sma.



Crude
This coming week of Feb 8th we should be entering the 3rd week of a nominal 18 week cycle which started January 20th.

I've been looking for Astrological aspects that hit Jupiter or Neptune. Both are co-rulers of crude. There is one this week on Feb 10th which would point to this being a short favorable time for crude. We need something more major to reverse this long term trend.

Watch the Fib retracements for a potential reversal or a retest.

Many commodities and financials should be affected by the Saturn / Neptune waning square this year. This is a 3 pass with the last 2 occurring mid-Year and then September 2016. This is a 36 year cycle so looking back 36 years we had severe problems with the lack of crude and interest rates went over 20%. Things are never the same, but often close as we now have an abundance of crude and very low (negative?) interest rates approximately 36 years later. These longer term aspects color a period of history rather than a day, week or month.

Looking at the crude chart we see a Primary cycle low on Aug 24 and then a crest on
Oct 9th. This is an example of a left translated cycle with the crest forming closer to the beginning trough. Left translated cycles are bearish, they simply spend more time going down than moving up. After 7 years of QE in the U.S. and loose monetary policy we haven't seen many left translated cycles for some time.

We are now in the 3rd week of a new nominal 18 week cycle. This could be that period I've mentioned when you can enter a new Primary cycle 2 - 3 weeks after the 18 week cycle low.

I'm in Canada where there appears to be some good buys but I'm waiting until I see a move above the Jan 28th high before considering even a short term trade.





Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?

The 1st half 2016 dates and subscription to the monthly letter (starting in Jan) are available for purchase.


Friday, January 29, 2016

Financial Astrology - February 1, 2016

 - Our first half 2016 forecast dates are available
                      - Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with                          eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
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This blog post will be shorter than usual as I'm writing the monthly subscribers report this week-end. You may wish to consider registering for out monthly report and ALERTS.

From last weeks blog post;
"Looking at heliocentric aspects there is  a very interesting date on January 29th, 2016 +- a few. "

From last months subscriber letter, January 2, 2016:
"When Jupiter turns Retrograde it is almost conjunct the North Node and will be almost conjunct the North Node for the month of January with two exact conjunctions on Jan 23rd and Jan 29th. This is very unusual. And the last significant signature for the first week of January is the Sun in waning square to Uranus. This is a somewhat unpredictable aspect which can mark Primary cycle highs and lows but many times no significant event.:

"Jan29th can be important for another reason as well. That is, there are a number of heliocentric aspects occurring on January 29th, 2016. They are;
heliocentric Saturn square Neptune
heliocentric Jupiter trine Pluto
heliocentric Earth trine Saturn
heliocentric Earth quincunx Neptune

Note that both Saturn and Neptune are highlighted here. Also, remember the Saturn / Neptune square "is often found near changes in inflation and or interest rates and money valuation problems in general""

If truth be known I was looking at this heliocentric square between Saturn and Neptune as affecting crude. The change to negative interest rates for the BOJ fits with money valuation problems in general

SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise Jan 20th looks like it was the Primary cycle trough.  1 cycle that started on Aug 24th. The start of a new Primary (nominal 18 week) cycle is usually the most bullish part of the cycle. We often get a pullback 2-3 weeks after the start of a new Primary cycle which provides an oppourtunity to get on board if you missed the cycle low.

I believe we are close to longer term cycle bottoms, both the 6.5 - 7 year cycle and the Kitchin cycle, 3.3 years (or 40 months). Assuming January 20th was not it (and it certainly could be), then we may see a left translated cycle, that is a Primary cycle which forms it's crest in the first half of the cycle. This is a bearish sign. Look for this over the next 9 weeks. Subscribers have the time-frame where I think we will have a more significant low.

The Primary cycle is aka, the nominal 18 week with a range of 15 to 21 weeks.

The first couple of weeks of February continue with some heavy transits then a break for a couple of weeks into the week of February 22nd.

The main cycle mentioned above was the heliocentric Saturn square Neptune. Neptune rules a number of things and one is crude. Neptune is also illusion, delusion, fraud, deceit, "the great pretender".



VIDEO - quick review of the Mercury - From last week (dates in previous weekly)


On January 5th Mercury turned retrograde or moving backward as viewed from earth. It then translated the Uranus / Pluto square on Jan 20th (the Low) and Jan 22nd. I mentioned Mercury acts like the "trickster" especially when moving retrograde. On
Jan 25 Mercury turned direct. Now Mercury will translate the Uranus / Pluto square again, this time when moving forward. Mercury will conjunct Pluto on Jan 30th and Mercury will square Uranus on Jan 31. Both on the weekend but the Mercury Uranus square will be close to the opening in the far East Sunday night. Watch this closely to get clues for Monday morning in the U.S.

Do we get tricked on Mercury's first translation of the Uranus / Pluto square on Jan 20 and Jan 22 when Mercury was retrograde and then get the real message over the weekend of Jan 30, 31st when Mercury translates the Uranus / Pluto square again but this time when it is moving forward. Watch the first week in February very closely, particularly Monday for Mercury.

Other dates to watch this coming week are Feb 4th where there is Mercury parallel Saturn and Feb 5, 6th where Venus will translate the Uranus / Pluto square, Venus conjunct Pluto on Feb 5th and Venus squared Uranus on Feb 6th. Venus amongst other things rules money and Pluto, amongst other things, rules debt. Uranus is sudden events or sudden change. Watch Feb 5th and Feb 8th very closely. The Venus / Pluto conjunction is often found at lows and 2 to 3 days before the actual conjunction date, so this time the 1st to the 4th. It's difficult seeing it move the major market indices down so early in the nominal 18 week cycle.

To summarize the above:
Volatility should remain. February 1st should be watched closely following the Mercury aspects on this coming weekend. Feb 4th has Mercury parallel Saturn which ties into a much more powerful Saturn parallel Pluto on Feb 9th. Feb 4th  also has a Fibonacci calc and a Sun / Pluto aspect that at the least should see a big range day.

Pay attention to the Employment situation report on Feb 5th. Jaw boning can move the markets as can fictitious moves in crude.

With the sharp market moves down we should consider one or more of the longer term cycles are coming down to enter their trough. Note the longer term charts we have shown for many months, specifically the Kitchin cycle (40 months) and the 6.5- 7 year cycle. The longer term cycles typically pull everything down with them. This can be a process that takes many months when only looking at the longer term cycle charts. They can also distort the normal rhythm of the 18 week cycle.

We use the Astrological aspects to determine a more exact time. Longer term geocentric Astrological cycles include:

Uranus waning square Pluto
            - passed the exact but still in orb (1 degree)
            Remember what this square is about.
            "This aspect has a historical association between anarchic uprisings and problems   with debt               and Banks. The debt issue will have major negative consequences for all financial markets.

Other events associated with this square are protest movements, social unrest and perhaps mob violence. Tax revolts fit in as well. The square is about tearing down the old structures (governments, financial institutions) and building anew. Although Uranus is about sudden change and surprises, Pluto is about long term changes that will not be undone. It is ruthless in it’s force to change the status quo. We are only 1 degree away from the exact Uranus and Pluto square."

Jupiter waning square Saturn
            - in the middle of a 3 pass, 2 exact hits to come this year
"The business cycle and direct effect on European history. Major changes will be occurring in Europe as result of the refuge migration. There is a major sign change coming up when Jupiter and Saturn are conjunct in 2020. More on this 240 year conjunction in a future post."
           
Saturn square Neptune
            -in the middle of a 3 pass, 2 exact hits to come this year
"This aspect is often present near times when there is a change in trend for interest  rates or inflation. It can also be a period of epidemics, pandemics suffering, depression and money valuation problems. This could be a change in the world's  reserve currency or issues around it. A large increase in precious metals is also possible as it is a money valuation issue. This 36 year aspect has been  associated with political changes, reforms and development of socialism. One wonders in regards to epidemics and sickness, would this be natural illnesses or man-made."

The spring time frame looks like a time to protect capital. I would say we should start now.

On the following chart, the red squares are Jupiter square Saturn. An ideal spot for a significant low would be between the last 2 red squares at March 23rd to May 26th. Note the green squares also. These are the Saturn / Neptune exact squares and the middle square is very close to the last Jupiter / Saturn square.



For 2016 we have Jupiter, Saturn, Neptune and the North Node in mutable signs. In addition both Solar eclipses are in mutable signs. Mutable signs are about flexibility and the ability or need to change.

Saturn is in Sagittarius which rules the law, religion, philosophy and science. With the square to Neptune is a good signal for a religious message that gets perverted. It's a time period where things seen depressing.

Two charts we have not shown for a while. The first is a weekly chart of the SP500. The horizontal blue lines are the average longitude of the planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto. This average is converted to price and displayed on this chart. Notice how well it has acted as support and resistance. The vertical black lines are the 55 td Fib cycle. Will the SP500 reach the next level at 1968 or fall back to 1878. If it's a new 18 week cycle I suspect it will move up.



The other chart we haven't shown for a while is this Fan which started on March 6, 2009 at the low. The dark blue line has acted as support most of the way up. It is the 50% line or 45 degrees. The red line we have just touched is 61.8%. It hasn't been touched since Oct. 2011. The black vertical lines are 512 cd's (calendar days) which next falls on March 9, just one day away from a powerful Solar Eclipse.



Other longer term cycles that may be close to seeing their lows in the next couple of months are the 6.5 - 7 year cycle and the Kitchin cycle (40 months). I'm looking at the period from mid-December 2015 through the spring of 2016 as a potential time period for these cycles. They are long term cycles and need a broad orb.

The Kitchin cycle on the SP500 chart. This is a monthly chart. cycles may appear closer than when they actually due.



Other long term cycle due, including the 6.5 - 7 year.



Longer term cycles on a monthly chart of the DJIA. These need a wide orb.



The following weekly chart shows the 21 and 34 weekly moving averages and the fact price broke through both averages Also the 21 and 34 week moving averages are pointing down.

The question is, do we have a significant low in front of us. At this point I think yes and we may have just seen it although I'm thinking potentially deeper in the spring time frame in 2016.



Gold
Gold put in a  Primary cycle   1 trough on July 24th and we had another Primary cycle trough on Dec 3rd. 2015.

This puts us entering the 9th week of the Primary cycle and entering the 3rd week of the 2nd nominal 6 week cycle during this coming week. The nominal 6 week cycle has a range of 5 to 7 weeks.

Jan 8th appears to be a 6 week cycle crest from which we typically pullback into a nominal 6 week cycle low which appears to be Jan 14th. There are approx. 3, 6 week cycles in the nominal 18 week cycle.

Gold needs to keep advancing here ideally above the 50% fib retracement at 1131. Any news from Central Banks on QE anything would be positive for Gold as does negative interest rates in Japan.

Watch the fib retracements on the following chart for both support and resistance areas.



I'm expecting a bigger move in Gold later in the year, possibly at the end of this Primary cycle which may also be a 17 month cycle low. The move should be up. Again, subscribers have the potential dates.

On the following daily chart we see Gold had a low on Jan 15th (27 cd cycle) then moved up into Jan 20th where it hit the Jupiter price line and fell back, but rose again this week and intra day on Jan 29 came back and touched the Jupiter price line (blue), hopefully to say good bye, I'm moving higher.



Crude
This coming week of February 1st, 2016 we should be entering the 23rd week or
2nd week of a nominal 18 week cycle which started January 20th.

This will need a few more days moving up to make me a believer, but it certainly looks like a Primary cycle low on January 20th at this time.

Watch the Fib retracements for a potential reversal or a retest like that mentioned above for the SP500.

Many commodities and financials should be affected by the Saturn / Neptune waning square this year. This is a 3 pass with the last 2 occurring mid-Year and then September 2016. This is a 36 year cycle so looking back 36 years we had severe problems with the lack of crude and interest rates went over 20%. Things are never the same, but often close. Are we at the bottom in crude? We should be close.

Looking at the crude chart we see a Primary cycle low on Aug 24 and then a crest on
Oct 9th. This is an example of a left translated cycle with the crest forming closer to the beginning trough. Left translated cycles are bearish, they simply spend more time going down than moving up. After 7 years of QE and loose money policy we haven't seen many left translated cycles for some time.





Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers. At $99.00 for a 6 month subscription, can you afford not to have it?


The 1st half 2016 dates and subscription to the monthly letter (starting in Jan) are available for purchase.

Thursday, January 28, 2016

Financial Astrology UPDATE Jan 28, 2016

Tomorrow, Jan 29th should be an important day for crude. Bear in mind that any date has a minimum orb of +- 2 td's.

From the last blog post:
"Looking at heliocentric aspects there is  a very interesting date on January 29th, 2016 +- a few. "

We are now one day away and it is still difficult to forecast the direction of the move in crude.

For the Astrologers reading this post tomorrow's heliocentric aspects are:

Saturn square Neptune

Jupiter trine Pluto

Earth trine Saturn

Earth quincunx Neptune.

The latter aspects is really part of a Yod which is completed by Mars and Mercury in quincunx to Neptune as well. Neptune may receive the energy from the Earth, Mars and Mercury and have a positive effect or Neptune may act to block that energy. Either way something dramatic should occur either tomorrow or within 2 days.

So there are positive and negative aspects hitting Neptune, the planet that rules crude and positive aspects hitting Jupiter, the co-ruler of crude.

Geocentrically there is one potent aspect, Jupiter conjunct the North Node.

Watch crude closely tomorrow as I expect some important news and potentially a dramatic reversal.

This looks like an aspect dealing with crude but Neptune also rules water, epidemics and long term illnesses, illusion and fraud.

This could also indicate a geophysical event or terrorist activity.



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