Saturday, December 3, 2016

Financial Astrology - December 5, 2016

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SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise November 4th looks like the Primary cycle trough1  which puts us entering the 5th week of a new nominal 18 week cycle. This was the 40 week cycle trough as well. 

The next estimated Primary cycle ( aka nominal 18 week cycle)  low is estimated to be  March 6th +- 3 weeks with a range of February 13th, 2017 to March 19, 2017. It could also be the week of March 19, 2017 +- 3 weeks. As we get closer I will use the upcoming Astros to try and get a more exact reading on when the Primary cycle trough will occur.

Last month had a number of Neptune transits. December has a number of Mars and Uranus transits.

On Monday December 5th the Sun will conjunct the heliocentric Nodes of Uranus which often results in a change in trend or big range day.

On December 13, 2016 there is a perigee Full Moon or Supermoon. Watch the period around December 13 +- 3 cd's (calendar days).

This could be a period of strong earthquake events or other geophysical activity. Also look for strong tides and possibly violent weather.

December 19 starts the Mercury Retrograde period. Covered many times, Mercury is known as the trickster and the retrograde period is not a good time to make decisions, or sign contracts or agreements. It's about confusion and mis-directed energy. Go ahead and plan. Mercury has it's most effect on people who know nothing about it. This Mercury retrograde will start when Mercury is almost exactly in conjunction with Pluto, suggesting a major agreement of some kind. Following is a daily chart of the SP500 with the Mercury retrograde (red arrow pointed left) and Mercury direct (blue arrow pointed right). This chart also shows the Superior and Inferior conjunctions.



December 26 when the US markets are closed for Christmas there is a 14 year aspect, Jupiter opposing Uranus. This is the first of a 3-pass in 2017. At times this opposition will be a T-square with Pluto at the Apex. The French Astrologer, Barbault considers this transit to be predominantly a capitalist oriented cycle. This transit should bring a spirit of individual and collective optimism. Look for progress as this aspect encourages and a perception of deeper potentialities, poses questions and opens up opportunities. This may be particularly opportune at this time with "The Donald" looking to improve the capitalist system which is the USA. Don't look for an immediate event. This is a 14 year cycle. Longer term transits, like this, need time to germinate. Nevertheless we can expect exciting, new events as the energy of this transit becomes assimilated.

In addition to this transit Mars will make a number of transits over the holiday period. This could be pointing to a violent period with possibly increased terrorist activity.

Following is a daily chart of the SP500. The brown line is an adjusted Bradley indicator. It's purpose is to find a change in trend. This is not straight forward to read and the details with video are in section 9 of the subscribers report. Price is now above both the 15 and 45 day sma's. and the 15 day sma is above the 45 day. They both turned up. A usual setup leading out of a Primary cycle low. Since this is the 5th week we should be aware we often get a nominal 6 week cycle to start a new Primary cycle and we appear to be turning.



As far as aspects go, the Sun and Jupiter have an affinity for the SP500. The following daily chart of the SP500 shows the Jupiter (blue) price line and the Sun (black) price line. The price line is the longitude of the planets converted to price. On the following chart note the price tends to either reverse or make a sharp move where the Sun price line and Jupiter price line cross. Note the last price bar, 6 bars ago, on this chart is on one of these crossings. It stopped going up and has been drifting down. It may have found support on the blue Jupiter price line on the last 2 days.



Harmonics
I continue to watch the 24th harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycles. The brown squares are Sun / Saturn 15 degrees on the following daily chart. The second last hit was
November 4th, the day of the cycle troughs we have been following. The next hits are  then Dec. 9th and December 26th.  They are often at short changes in trend.

I have added 3 price lines to this chart.
Saturn - black
Uranus - purple
Neptune - light blue

These price lines can act as support / resistance. Notice we have just moved down to the Neptune price line (light blue). Watch for support or a bounce.

Also on this chart is a blue vertical line which is the 24 cd (calendar day) cycle. It has been at highs and lows. We just hit it today, November 25th.



There have been a number of earthquakes over 6.5 this week. I'm expecting more probably closer to December 13 or the end of December 2016.

“Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value. Zero.”
-- Voltaire


Gold
I was looking at October 7th as the start of a new nominal 18 week cycle   1 trough. Last weeks move down negates that possibility and leaves us looking for a Gold cycle low. If we are still looking for the low in Gold, which I think we are, then we are in the 26th week. This is not a good technical configuration. Note the Primary cycle that ended on June 1, 2016 was 26 weeks, an outlier.

On the following chart Gold is at the 61.8% retracement of the move from December 2015 to August 2016 and appears to be getting support.



Beyond the nominal 18 week cycle there is a 13 1/2 month cycle that is due for a trough then up. This cycle typically lands in the 11 to 14th month. Again it may have been October 7th.

Like stocks Gold can be effected by the Mercury retrograde. Following is a daily Gold  chart with the arrows identifying retrograde and direct dates and the Inferior and Superior Sun / Mercury conjunctions.



The following weekly chart for Gold has the 13.5 month cycle shown as the blue vertical lines. I had been looking ahead to see if there are any Astrological aspects with a history of moves in Gold. I was looking at the Sun / Neptune square and that could turn out to be close to a turn date in Gold.

Astrologically a low later in November would make more sense. Beyond the Sun / Neptune square there are 2 very long term aspects on November 17 and particularly November 24, 25.



The next chart is a longer term monthly chart showing the 7.4 year cycle in Gold. They are the red vertical lines. Note that the 7.4 year cycle put in a low in late 2015. We are now in a pull back but we are very early in the 7.4 year cycle which should be bullish in the long term. I'm looking for a more substantial move up in late November or December.



Crude
August 3rd was the start of the Primary cycle and we are now 18 weeks along although we may have had the Primary cycle trough on November 14th which would put us in the 3rd week of a new Primary cycle. This big move up was after the OPEC meeting and there supposed cut-back in production. Trump's oil policy where he has stated he wants to have the US produce it's own crude via shale oil, fracking, side-ways drilling etc. is in conflict with OPEC production cuts.

The end of a Primary cycle is usually the most volatile and harder to predict. On the following chart the 15 day sma is pointed up as is the 45 day sma. This looks like the Primary cycle is in. This volatility is usual for a Primary trough formation.



I'm watching all aspects to Jupiter or Neptune, the two rulers of crude. The price of crude is subject to the vagaries of the OPEC group and the actions of it's individual members. The Sun square Neptune aspect on November 3rd and the OPEC announcement may have identified the Primary cycle low.

Following is a daily chart of crude showing the price lines for the Sun (green) and Pluto (black). Note that recent move up in crude has stopped. or at least slowed down at the up sloping green line, the Sun price line. Look for resistance here or the Pluto price line directly above it in the 52.59 range.






Friday, November 25, 2016

Financial Astrology - November 28, 2016

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(January, 1 2017 - June 30, 2017
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SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise November 4th looks like the Primary cycle trough1  which puts us entering the 4th week of a new nominal 18 week cycle. This was quite probably the 40 week cycle trough as well. 

The next estimated Primary cycle ( aka nominal 18 week cycle)  low is estimated to be  March 6th +- 3 weeks with a range of February 13th, 2017 to March 19, 2017. It could also be the week of March 19, 2017 +- 3 weeks. As we get closer I will use the upcoming Astros to try and get a more exact reading on when the Primary cycle trough will occur.

We still have a number of Neptune transits this month. I still expect general confusion into early December.

There is an important aspect, Sun waning square Neptune on November 30, the same day as the OPEC meeting. Also on November 30 there is Mercury quintile (72 degrees or 1/5 of a circle) Neptune and December 1 Mars waxing trine Jupiter.

Jupiter and Neptune are the co-rulers of crude. At this time Neptune is in Pisces, the sign that it rules, making Neptune more powerful at this time. This OPEC meeting is important to get a direction for crude early in Trumps term since he is on record as wanting to build up US based energy producers.

The Jupiter / Pluto square on November 24th then Venus aspecting both Jupiter and Pluto on November 25th didn't have much effect. I was looking for a change in trend in the general markets. The Thanksgiving holidays in the US may have effected this transit. Venus will move to square Uranus on November 29th followed by the Sun square Neptune mentioned above. These aspects may affect the nations money (US), debt, women's issues or pensions. Whatever occurs, with Uranus involved, it should be sudden and somewhat unexpected. Watch the US indices and the US$.

Following is a daily chart of the SP500. The brown line is an adjusted Bradley indicator. It's purpose is to find a change in trend. This is not straight forward to read and the details with video are in section 9 of the subscribers report.

Following is our normal daily chart for the SP500. Price is now above both the 15 and 45 day sma's. and the 15 day sma is above the 45 day. They both turned up. A usual setup leading out of a Primary cycle low.



Note, on the above chart the adjusted Bradley (brown line) is turned on November 18th. This did not mark a change in trend. For those who have been reading this blog for awhile I have noted there is often a pullback 2 to 4 weeks after a Primary cycle low. So in this case 2 to 4 weeks after November 4th. We are entering the 4th week. This is based on starting the Primary cycle with a 6 week cycle. The other option is the first sub-cycle of the Primary cycle is the 1/2 Primary or 9 week cycle.

As far as aspects go, the Sun and Jupiter have an affinity for the SP500. The following daily chart of the SP500 shows the Jupiter (blue) price line and the Sun (black) price line. The price line is the longitude of the planets converted to price. On the following chart note the price tends to either reverse or make a sharp move where the Sun price line and Jupiter price line cross. Note the last price bar on this chart is on one of these crossings. I'm looking for a reversal or sharp move up or down early next week.



Harmonics
I continue to watch the 24th harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycles. The brown squares are Sun / Saturn 15 degrees on the following daily chart. The last hit was
November 4th, the day of the cycle troughs we have been following. The next hits are  then Nov. 23rd and Dec. 9th.  They are often at short changes in trend.

I have added 3 price lines to this chart.
Saturn - black
Uranus - purple
Neptune - light blue

These price lines can act as support / resistance. Notice we have just broken through the Neptune price line. Give these a couple of days.

Also on this chart is a blue vertical line which is the 24 cd (calendar day) cycle. It has been at highs and lows. We just hit it today, November 25th.



There have been a number of earthquakes over 6.5 this week. I'm expecting more possiblt closer to the end of December.

"Everybody knows that the boat is leaking
Everybody knows that the captain lied
Everybody got this broken feeling
Like their father or their dog just died
Everybody knows"
-- Leonard Cohen


Gold
I was looking at October 7th as the start of a new nominal 18 week cycle   1 trough. Last weeks move down negates that possibility and leaves us looking for a Gold cycle low. If Oct 7th was the cycle low and we have a one off move down then this could be the 8th week. If we are still looking for the low in Gold, which I think we are, then we are in the 25th week. This is not a good technical configuration. Note the Primary cycle that ended on June 1, 2016 was 26 weeks, an outlier.



Beyond the nominal 18 week cycle there is a 13 1/2 month cycle that is due for a trough then up. This cycle typically lands in the 11 to 14th month. Again it may have been October 7th. Watch this closely.

The point on Heliocentric Mercury entering Sagittarius on November 5th seem to start the move down in Gold. Helio Mercury will exit Sagittarius and enter Capricorn on November 15th. The slide in Gold precious metals slowed down around November 15th but continued down later last week.

The following weekly chart for Gold has the 13.5 month cycle shown as the blue vertical lines. I'm looking ahead to see if there any Astrological aspect with a history of moves in Gold. The Sun / Neptune square is one and is shown on the following chart as the red squares. They have been at both crests and troughs. The next one is due on November 30th. We also have Neptune turning Direct. The Sun / Neptune square that follows the Neptune Direct signature is the most consistent for a change in trend in Gold. That is, it is more consistent than the Sun / Neptune square that does not occur after a Neptune Direct signature.

Astrologically a low later in November would make more sense. Beyond the Sun / Neptune square there are 2 very long term aspects on November 17 and particularly November 24, 25 although markets in the US will not be open on November 24, Thanks Giving, and only a 1/2 day of November.  This is an important week. Subscribers see the November report.



The next chart is a longer term monthly chart showing the 7.4 year cycle in Gold. They are the red vertical lines. Note that the 7.4 year cycle put in a low in late 2015. We are now in a pull back but we are very early in the 7.4 year cycle which should be bullish in the long term. I'm looking for a more substantial move up in late November or December.



Crude
August 3rd was the start of the Primary cycle and we are now 17 weeks along. We are pulling back due to uncertainty in the OPEC decision next Wednesday, November 30th. This OPEC meeting may be particularly hard to call due to Trump's oil policy where he has stated he wants to have the US produce it's own crude via fracking, side-ways drilling etc.

We are ending the 2nd Major cycle (aka 6 week cycle) trough (MB) and could have seen the 1/2 Primary cycle on October 19th where I've marked the Primary Top. The end of a Primary cycle is usually the most volatile and harder to predict. On the following chart the 15 day sma crossed down over the 45 day sma and price is moving down but still above the 15 day sma. This volatility is usual for a Primary trough formation.



I'm watching all aspects to Jupiter or Neptune, the two rulers of crude. The price of crude is subject to the vagaries of the OPEC group and the actions of it's individual members. We had been looking for a retest of the August lows but now have put in the crest of this Primary cycle on October 19th. Watch November 30 for crude. There is a Sun square Neptune aspect and it is the OPEC announcement date.

Following is a daily chart of crude shows the price lines for the Sun (green) and Pluto (black). Note that recent moves down in crude had stopped. or at least slowed down at the up sloping green line, the Sun price line and broke through to the down-side on November 10th. Crude then moved back up to the Sun price line and then moved down sharply on Nov. 25, stopping at the Sun (green) price line. Look for support here or the Pluto price line directly below it.


Saturday, November 19, 2016

Financial Astrology - November 21, 2016

 - Our second half 2016 forecast dates are available
                      - Subscriptions include the forecast dates and a monthly Market letter with                                           eMail alerts for imminent trading opportunities
                      - We do not use negative option billing nor do we sell email addresses

Our posts are now reported on the highly regarded FXStreet.com.
The next 1/2 year Forecast Dates are available for purchase. Subscribers receive 6 months forecast no matter when they sign up.

SP500
For the SP500, cycle-wise November 4th looks like the Primary cycle trough1  which puts us entering the 3rd week of a new nominal 18 week cycle. This was quite probably the 40 week cycle trough as well. 

The next estimated Primary cycle ( aka nominal 18 week cycle)  low is estimated to be  March 6th +- 3 weeks with a range of February 13th, 2017 to March 19, 2017. It could also be the week of March 19, 2017 +- 3 weeks. As we get closer I use the upcoming Astros to try and get a more exact reading on when the Primary cycle trough will occur.

We still have a number of Neptune transits this month. I still expect general confusion into early December.

There is another date near the end of the month which could indicate a change. Look to Thursday and Friday this week. where the transit is about change or transformation. Since Pluto is involved it may represent changes to debt. With Venus hitting this aspect on Friday money could be involved. Remember money is debt.

So with the closure of the US markets for Thanks Giving, Thursday and 1/2 of Friday, those who trade in other markets may capitalize on unique opportunities. I trade the TSX.

For those who have been reading this blog for awhile I've been looking for some large deceit or lies being exposed. The whole mess of the scandals in the US election was probably it and includes WikiLeaks and Anonymous.

In addition there is a 12 year aspect hitting near the end of the month. This synodic cycle relates to the growth of international terrorism and political power. It also has evidence of an impact on the economy. In brief, the attainment of power of all kinds.

Following is a daily chart of the SP500. The brown line is an adjusted Bradley indicator. It's purpose is to find a change in trend. This is not straight forward to read and the details with video are in section 9 of the subscribers report.

Following is our normal daily chart for the SP500. Price is now above both the 15 and 45 day sma's. The 15 day is closing in on the 45 day. They both turned up. A usual setup leading out of a Primary cycle low.



Note, on the above chart the adjusted Bradley (brown line) is turning on November 18th. This should mark a change in trend. For those who have been reading this blog for awhile I have noted there is often a pullback 2 to 4 weeks after a Primary cycle low. So in this case 2 to 4 weeks after November 4th. We are in the 3rd week.

Following is a chart of the planetary average longitude. The horizontal blue lines are based on the average longitude of the planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and Pluto which are converted to price. The levels this calculates typically are excellent points to place sell or buy stops. I often use them with Fibonacci retracement levels as well. Price ended at 2,2181.90 very close to the 2,184 planetary average. Price opened above the 2184 planetary average and closed below it.



I'll give the following one more week.
There is another longer term cycle hitting next week, the 377 trading day cycle. I believe I got this cycle from Stan Harley some time ago. Being longer term it' needs a wide orb +- 1 or 2 weeks. The November 4th low could have been it or it is directly ahead. Note it has been at highs and lows. See the red vertical lines on the following chart. I bring this up only to warn of the possibility. This cycle often appears when Venus is Out of Bounds in either north or south declination. Venus is Out of Bounds now and will continue OOB until December 5th, 2016.



Harmonics
I continue to watch the 24th harmonic cycle (360 / 24) cycle between the Sun and Saturn, which are the brown squares on the following daily chart. The last hit was
November 4th, the day of the cycle troughs we have been following. The next hits are  then Nov. 23rd and Dec. 9th.  They are often at short changes in trend.



Rumors from the FED that Yellen wants a "high-pressure economy" meaning increased inflation with no rate cuts. There were also rumors of the FED buying stock directly. They should review Japan again.

"Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future."
-- Neils Bohr

Gold
I was looking at October 7th as the start of a new nominal 18 week cycle   1 trough. Last weeks move down negates that possibility and leaves us looking for a Gold cycle low. If Oct 7th was the cycle low and we have a one off move down then this could be the 7th week. If we are still looking for the low in Gold, which I think we are, then we are in the 24th week. Note the Primary cycle that ended on June 1, 2016 was 26 weeks, an outlier.



Beyond the nominal 18 week cycle there is a 13 1/2 month cycle that is due for a trough then up. This cycle typically lands in the 11 to 14th month. Again it may have been October 7th. Watch this closely.

From the two weeks ago blog post:
If the 13 1/2 month cycle is in front of us there may be a hard move down in precious metals. Remember our point on heliocentric Mercury entering Sagittarius. It often effects precious metals and currencies and price swings.

The point on Heliocentric Mercury entering Sagittarius on November 5th seem to start the move down in Gold. Helio Mercury will exit Sagittarius and enter Capricorn on November 15th. The slide in Gold precious metals slowed down around November 15th but continued down later last week.

The following weekly chart for Gold has the 13.5 month cycle shown as the blue vertical lines. I'm looking ahead to see if there any Astrological aspect with a history of moves in Gold. The Sun / Neptune square is one and is shown on the following chart as the red squares. They have been at both crests and troughs. The next one is due on November 30th. We also have Neptune turning Direct. The Sun / Neptune square that follows the Neptune Direct signature is the most consistent for a change in trend in Gold. That is, it is more consistent than the Sun / Neptune square that does not occur after a Neptune Direct signature.

Astrologically a low later in November would make more sense. Beyond the Sun / Neptune square there are 2 very long term aspects on November 17 and particularly November 24, 25 although markets in the US will not be open on November 24, Thanks Giving, and only a 1/2 day of November.  This is an important week. Subscribers see the November report.



The next chart is a longer term monthly chart showing the 7.4 year cycle in Gold. They are the red vertical lines. Note that the 7.4 year cycle put in a low in late 2015. We are now in a pull back but we are very early in the 7.4 year cycle which should be bullish in the long term. I'm looking for a more substantial move up later in November or December.


The following daily Gold chart shows the Venus and Jupiter price lines. Venus are the green lines and blue the Jupiter price lines. Gold has been moving down sharply but pauses, sometimes brieflt during it's descent. I expect Gold to stop going down, at least going down at this rate near a Jupiter (blue) price line. I'm looking at 1,186 and 1,216 as potential turns in the short term.




Crude
August 3rd was the start of the Primary cycle and we now 16 weeks along. We could get a bounce for one more crest but I'm playing this as a move down into the Primary cycle low and will ignore any bounce in the coming weeks. I'll look for the low in the 2nd half of November or  early December.

We are ending the 2nd Major cycle (aka 6 week cycle) trough (MB) and could have seen the 1/2 Primary cycle on October 19th where I've marked the Primary Top. The end of a Primary cycle is usually the most volatile and harder to predict. On the following chart the 15 day sma crossed down over the 45 day sma and price just moved above the 15 day sma. This volatility is usual for a Primary trough formation.



I'm watching all aspects to Jupiter or Neptune, the two rulers of crude. The price of crude is subject to the vagaries of the OPEC group and the actions of it's individual members. We had been looking for a retest of the August lows but now have put in the crest of this Primary cycle on October 19th. With the multiple Neptune aspects on November crude could be volatile. Watch the following dates for a change in trend in crude.
November 17
November 20
November 24, 25
November 30

Following is a daily chart of crude shows the price lines for the Sun (green) and Pluto (black). Note that recent moves down in crude had stopped. or at least slowed down at the up sloping green line, the Sun price line and broke through to the down-side on November 10th. Crude then moved back up to the Sun price line and may have found resistance at the Pluto price line. Pluto, the black line often acts as support or resistance. The next Pluto price is at 46.50.




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