Saturday, September 13, 2014

Financial Astrology - Sept 14, 2014


SP500
We are entering the 6th week of the Primary cycle (nominal 18 week) which started on Aug 7th. There are potentially a number of longer term cycles due in the next couple of months. September has a number of intermediate cycles due. First up is the first Major cycle of the Primary cycle.

We are in the first Major cycle (nominal 6 week average range of 5-7 weeks). We may also be in the 224 cd (calendar day) cycle as well. I was expecting to get down to at least the 1,970 area in the SP500 which is the 38.2% retracement level.

From last weeks blog post.
" I've noted on the chart when we could expect the Major cycle to trough out, that is the weeks of  9/15/2014 to 9/26/2014."

SP500

Also from last weeks blog post.
" A pullback to the Major cycle trough is often near the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement or the 1970 area."

Also note I've added the Lunar (blue squares) and Solar Eclipses (red squares) to the SP500 chart. These need a range of +- a few days and their effects can be much longer, particularly the Solar eclipse. In this case the Lunar eclipse is tied into a Sept 25th aspect. It is also tied in to the long term Uranus waxing square Pluto aspect, in effect making it a T-square with a wide orb. More on this for subscribers. The Lunar Eclipse is on October 8th and the Solar Eclipse October 23rd. More on this in the subscribers letter.



This coming week has the FED meeting on Sept 16, 17 and the Scotland Referendum on Sept 18th. Both are possible market moving events. The astrological aspect of significance this week is Venus in waning trine to Pluto on Sept 14th. It has a history of coinciding with Major cycles within 5 trading days and maybe marking the trough of the current Major cycle (see this first chart). Note, I said maybe as we are in the time frame for the 224 cd (calendar day) cycle mentioned last few weeks on this blog. Following is a daily chart of the SP500 showing the 224 cd cycle. I was expecting this cycle to go a little deeper. Watch this week as we may get the Major cycle and 224cd cycle lows. Much depends on the FED and Scotland Referendum. We also have OPEX on Sept 19th.



The following week of Sept 22nd looks very eventful from an Astrological perspective. I believe we are entering an exciting, eventful time period starting now through the end of October.  Mars entering Sagittarius on September 13th can result in wild price swings, particularly the week of Sept 22nd where we have other significant aspects. Martian energy (fight or flight) heats up Sagittarius, a mutable fire sign, starting September 13.

Sagittarius is about ideology, philosophy and cultural identity. Issues of nationalism and patriotism are highlighted. Peoples beliefs come to the fore be it religious, intellectual or cultural. Sagittarius tests the tolerance, understanding and acceptance towards other cultures practices, customs and beliefs. This sign also rules travel and immigration often occurs when the sign is transited.

Of immediate importance is Mars will be in waning square to Neptune soon after entering Sagittarius on Sept 21. This is a signature of exaggeration and false rumors that may be designed to incite hysteria. Remember Neptune is illusion and delusion. False flag events come to mind.

The hard war aspects between Mars and Saturn in Scorpio have just passed but I would expect the fog of war to continue for some time. The Mars Saturn aspects in August will be replaced by a building stress between Pluto and Uranus that are in exact waxing square on Dec 15. This is a very long term aspects and I give it +- 1 month in orb. It is an aspect that colors the background of history for a number of years. We have covered the Uranus Pluto in waxing square extensively in previous posts. We will do so again as we get closer.

The month of September has two very powerful aspects. I'm going to mention one here as it demonstrates an Astrological principle. That is, all aspects between two planets are part of a cycle. The cycles always starts with a conjunction, then the faster moving planet starts to separate from the slower moving planet and start making other aspects.

Late in the month there is Jupiter in waxing trine to Uranus. A trine is a 120 degree aspect. The waxing trine is the first trine of a new cycle. There are three trines
(ex. 360 / 3 = 120). There is a waxing trine aspect at 120 degrees and a waning trine aspect at 240 degrees.

Following is a monthly chart showing the history of the Jupiter Uranus trine.



On this monthly chart of the SP500 the red circles are the dates of the Jupiter Uranus trine. Note, sometimes there are 3 aspects close together. This occurs when the planets involved are going retrograde. The one coming up is a 3 pass. I'm including a shorter term chart for subscribers since the monthly chart hides shorter term activity and Jupiter Uranus contacts are very strong.

The Jupiter in waxing trine to Uranus aspect which is exact on Sept 25th will be joined by Mars in early October making this a grand trine. All planets will be in fire sign, Mars in Sagittarius, Jupiter in Leo, and Uranus in Aries. That's a lot of fire energy. If we don't blow the world up with awesome fire power this could represent a startling breakthrough in some field of activity. Freedom will be emphasized. People (including leaders) should think and then think again before they rush into a decision.

In summary I am looking for a Major cycle trough which should be this coming week or next. It could be a little deeper than normal due to the 224 cd cycle also due for a low. With Mars moving into Sagittarius expect market volatility for 5 to 6 weeks which may be very good for traders and confusing for longer term strategies. The FED minutes may have a dramatic effect.

There are other very significant transits hitting in late September and October but they are reserved for subscribers. Very important, watch the US$ closely. I will say Sept 24, 25th could be surprising.


Gold
Gold is in the 15th week of it's Primary cycle (nominal 18 week).  Gold broke through the bottom of the symmetrical triangle (light blue). This, by itself, is a bearish move as that line should now act as significant resistance when Gold tries to move up.

This is negative at a number of levels. Since the July 10th high Gold is making lower highs and lower lows. The current Primary cycle is also left translated and now lower then the start of the Primary cycle on June 3rd.

So none of the historical averages for a rise in Gold have past. Mars entering Sagittarius has a history of price swings in many markets.



I am looking for an Astrological aspect or evnt that would equate to depressed commidty prices at this time. I'll keep you posted on my studies here.

Silver is in the 16th week of it's Primary cycle. Like Gold we are lower in price than at the start of the Primary cycle on May 30, 2014. The Primary cycle is also left translated, which is bearish. Watch this week. Both Gold and Silver are in the time frame for a shortened Primary cycle which has an average of 18 weeks but a range of from 15 weeks to 21 weeks.



Crude
We are in the 20th week of the Primary cycle in crude or just starting a new Primary cycle. If new it will be bullish for the next few weeks. If not a Primary it could go down further. Like Gold, Silver and commodities in general, Crude seems to be in a deflationary period at least partly attributable to the high US$. I'm referring to WTIC crude. The current cycle was  very left translated which is bearish.



On a longer term basis, Crude could drop to the 85.00/CL area in the 4th quarter of 2014

Other items, more specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers.

Scotland the Brave
I'm of Scottish heritage.
Following is a short segment of a conversation with Gandhi when India sought independence from Britain.


Kinnoch: With respect, Mr. Gandhi, without British administration, this country would be reduced to chaos.
Gandhi: Mr. Kinnoch, I beg you to accept that there is no people on Earth who would not prefer their own bad government to the good government of an alien power.
Brigadier: My dear sir! India *is* British. We’re hardly an alien power!
[silence]

Courtesy of Martin Armstrong.


Saturday, September 6, 2014

Financial Astrology - Sept 7, 2014


SP500
We are entering the 5th week of the Primary cycle which started on Aug 7th. There are potentially a number of longer term cycles due in the next couple of months. September has a number of intermediate cycles due. First up is the first Major cycle (nominal 6 week) with an average range of 5-7 weeks. If there is no pull back then we will look for a 1/2 Primary cycle (nominal 9 week). I've noted on the chart when we could expect the Major cycle to trough out, that is the weeks of  9/15/2014 to 9/26/2014.

A pullback to the Major cycle trough is often near the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement or the 1970 area. We are due for the index to start to reverse very soon (this week?)

SP500


And following is the DJIA which is currently similar to the SP500 waiting for the top of the first Major cycle of the Primary cycle which started August 7th.

DJIA


Also note I've added the Lunar (blue squares) and Solar Eclipses (red squares) to the DJIA chart. These need a range of +- a few days and their effects can be much longer, particularly the Solar eclipse. In this case the Lunar eclipse is tied into the Sept 25th aspect. More on this in the subscribers letter.

The week of Sept 22nd looks very eventful. Before we get there we have another perigee Full Moon on the evening of September 8th. This is a Moon that is in it's closest path to Earth for this orbit. It is also known as a Super Moon per Richard Nolle. Give this +- 3 days and look for violent weather, floods, geophysical events and potentially strange or violent acts by us human beings. The Moon's position, being close to Earth affects it's gravitational pull. This can also result in quick price swings in many markets.

Coming up the Lunar Eclipse is on October 8th and the Solar Eclipse October 23rd.

I believe we are entering an exciting, eventful time period starting now through the end of October. In the short term heliocentric Mercury has just entered  the mutable, fire sign, Sagittarius and it will be followed by Mars entering Sagittarius on September 13th. Heliocentric Mercury in Sagittarius can result in wild price swings, so this combined with the Super Moon we could see big prices swings in a number of markets, particularly this week. Martian energy (fight or flight) heats up Sagittarius starting September 13.

Sagittarius is about ideology, philosophy and cultural identity. Issues of nationalism and patriotism are highlighted. Peoples beliefs come to the fore be it religious, intellectual or cultural. Sagittarius tests the tolerance, understanding and acceptance towards other cultures practices, customs and beliefs. This sign also rules travel and immigration or issues involving immigration often occurs when the sign is transited.

Of immediate importance is Mars will be in waning square to Neptune soon after entering Sagittarius on Sept 21. This is a signature of exaggeration and false rumors that may be designed to incite hysteria. Remember Neptune is illusion and delusion. False flag events come to mind.

In the middle of the month we will have the FED meeting on Sept 16, 17 and the Scotland referendum on September 18th. Either could be market moving events.

Back to market cycles we have the 224 cd (calendar day) cycle which the subscribers have had for some time. This needs a range of +-1-2 weeks. The exact date is Sept 17th but better to look at this hitting in a 1-2 week around that date.



Look at that cycle closely and note some have been at highs. This is an example of inversion when a cycle ends time wise but ends at a high instead of an expected low.

As noted in a previous post the 224 cd (calendar day) cycle is equal to the orbit of the planet Venus. See the last letter for more details.

The fact that many analysts are calling the markets manipulated we must still work with what we are given.

I found the following post (zerohedge) interesting and would explain the large volume transactions occurring in the middle of the night. That's night for North America at least. We have subscribers from all over the world.
//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
"Compare and contrast.
From the Chicago Mercantile Exchange 2012 10-K:
Customer Base

Our customer base includes professional traders, financial institutions, institutional and individual investors, major corporations, manufacturers, producers and governments.
And 

from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange 2013 10-K:

Customer Base

Our customer base includes professional traders, financial institutions, institutional and individual investors, major corporations, manufacturers, producers, governments and central banks.

And there you have it, but in case anyone is still confused, here is some more:

At this point why even pretend there is a "market"? The "market", and by "market" we mean stocks - it has long been known that central banks actively trade bonds, FX and commodities - is whatever central banks say it is.
Finally, if central banks are going to be rigging the market as they now conclusively are on a daily basis, perhaps they can disclose ahead of the trading day start to everyone, and not just the primary dealers, what the closing S&P 500 price for any given day is."
//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

The hard war aspects between Mars and Saturn have just passed but I would expect the fog of war to continue for some time. The Mars Saturn aspects in August will be replaced by a building stress between Pluto and Uranus that are an exact waxing square on Dec 15. This is a very long term aspects and I give it +- 1 month in orb. Pluto turns direct on Sept 22.

The month of September has two very powerful aspects. I'm going to mention one here as it demonstrates an Astrological principle, that is, all aspects between two planets are part of a cycle. The cycles always starts with a conjunction, then the faster moving planet starts to separate from the slower moving planet and start making other aspects.

Late in the month there is Jupiter in waxing trine to Uranus. A trine is a 120 degree aspect. The waxing trine is the first trine of a new cycle. There are three trines
(ex. 360 / 3 = 120). There is a waxing trine at 120 degrees and a waning trine at 240 degrees.

Following is a monthly chart showing the history of the Jupiter Uranus trine.



On this monthly chart of the SP500 the red circles are the dates of the Jupiter Uranus trine. Note, sometimes there are 3 aspects close together. This occurs when the planets involved are going retrograde. The one coming up is a 3 pass.

The more important thing to note is where I have typed waxing or waning. Note the waning trine typically does not do much other than short term up or down moves while the waxing trine always occurs close to a substantial turn down. In a 3 pass, like the one we are about to have, it could trigger the move down at any of the three near exact aspects. In the case we have now I'm expecting the move down to be early in the 3 pass sequence. The dates are on the subscribers letter.

In summary we are looking for a Major cycle crest then down to a trough ideally during the weeks of Sept 15 or Sept 26.

One more. Another cycle analyst, Eric Hadik, has quoted Bible cycles from time to time. Recently he mentioned 40 year cycle, as found in the Bible as "40 years of testing". Following is a monthly chart of the DJIA. The red vertical lines are the 40 year cycle. The next one is due in December 2014 however this would need a broad range, maybe +- a month. For those who have been around for a while you may remember the last 40 year low in 1974.



In Astrology 40 years is close to one half a Uranus cycle. The Uranus cycle is approx. 84 years therefore one-half is 42 years.

There may be a 42 year cycle when looking at the 42 year cycle below. Notice the better fits of lows. The next occurrence would be November 2016.



There are other very significant transits hitting in late September and October but they are reserved for subscribers. I've been asked why not include all crucial Astrological aspects on the blog. The answer is if I did, why would anyone pay for the service?


Gold
Gold is in the 14th week of it's Primary cycle  Gold broke through the bottom of the symmetrical triangle. This, by itself, is a bearish move as that line should now act as significant resistance when Gold tries to move up. I have sold most Gold holdings other than an ETF which holds physical. (CEF in the US and CEF.A on the TSX). I live in Canada, just outside of Toronto.

Notice the big down day on Sept 2. This is the trading day after the Sun opposition Neptune aspect which has a powerful influence on precious metal prices. The US$ index took off from the Sun opposition Neptune as well.

I'll be watching any attempt at Gold moving up through the the symmetrical triangle.



Silver is in the 15th week of it's Primary cycle.. We may be near a 1/2 Primary cycle so like Gold, watch Silver closely next week. For Silver we are also approaching a possible shortened Primary cycle trough. Good days for Silver for a change in trend or a big range day are Sept 10-11. These should be good for Gold as well.



Crude
We are in the 19th week of the Primary cycle in crude or just starting a new Primary cycle. If new it will be bullish for the next few weeks. If not a Primary it could go down further.. The current cycle was  very left translated which is bearish. There is much going on with crude and the US$. Much of the rumblings between the Ukraine ( backed by Europe, the US and NATO) and Russia have to do with gas, crude and the reserve currency status of the US buck. We may see more of this very shortly.



On a longer term basis, Crude could drop from 93.43 - 85.00/CL in the 4th quarter of 2014

Other items, More specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers.

Saturday, August 30, 2014

Financial Astrology - Sept. 1, 2014


SP500
We are entering the 4th week of the Primary cycle which started on Aug 7th. We often get a more minor pullback 2-3 weeks into a Primary cycle (trading cycle) but it has not appeared at this point. The SP500 basically went sideways last week.

 SP500

 DJIA



The next period to watch is for the first Major cycle (nominal 6 weeks or 5-7 weeks) of the new Primary cycle.  This would mean a low in the weeks starting Sept 8 through Sept 22. This coincides with the 224 cd (calendar day) cycle which the subscribers have had for some time. This needs a range of +-1-2 weeks.



Look at that cycle closely and note some have been at highs. This is an example of inversion when a cycle ends time wise but ends at a high instead of an expected low.

As noted in a previous post the 224 cd (calendar day) cycle is equal to the orbit of the planet Venus. See the last letter for more details.

-----------------------------------------------------
A point on the Primary cycle and the patterns that compose the Primary cycle. There are three basic patterns.

1.) Primary cycle (nominal 18 week) composed of three Major cycles. The ideal would be 3 Major cycles (6 weeks) and therefore a total of 18 weeks. This is the most common and the easiest to interpret.

2.) Pattern2 is the most rare and is composed of 2, 1/2 Primary cycles. Here you will find a trough in the middle of the cycle approx. at 9 weeks.

3.) The third pattern, the combo pattern, is the most complex and happens quite frequently. Here we have 3 major cycle and a 1/2 Primary cycle low in the middle of the Primary cycle. These can be confusing.

Any one of these patterns can become distorted particularly near the end of the cycle.

Knowing where you are within the cycle and how that market has been behaving at each phase is critical for successful trading using cycles. An understanding of the cycles and then where the significant Astros take place can fine tune your buys and sells.
-------------------------------------------------------
I bring this up now as the Trading cycle has been absent so far and the general market indices very bullish. This can mean we are looking at pattern 2, that is 2, 1/2 Primary cycles.

The fact that many analysts are calling the markets manipulated we must still work with what we are given.

The hard war aspects between Mars and Saturn have just passed but I would expect the fog of war to continue for some time. The Mars Saturn aspects in August will be replaced by a building stress between Pluto and Uranus that are an exact waxing square on Dec 15. This is a very long term aspects and I give it +- 1 month in orb. Descriptions for the Uranus / Pluto square were given last week.

The month of September has two very powerful aspects.

Late in the month there is Jupiter in waxing square to Uranus. This has a history of being the strongest aspect when it comes to trend changes in major US indexes.  This needs an orb of +- 2 weeks. Jupiter square Uranus can stand for good fortune, the desire for knowledge and a love of freedom. It can also stand for a tendency to miss the best chances or oppourtunities and getting involved with arguments specifically on questions of life-philosophy / religion. Oh Oh.

Late in August the Sun opposed Neptune, another very powerful aspect which needs +- 2 weeks, to affect the US indexes. It also has a history of showing up at changes in trend in precious metals. The Sun in opposition to Neptune can equate to weakness, sensitivity and people easily influenced by others and at times, a negative attitude towards like. Illusion and delusion may play a role.

Earlier in the month we have Jupiter quincunx Pluto, also a long term aspect and is more potent than usual as it is close to Pluto turning direct. Earlier in the month there is also another perigee Full Moon. I expect more violent weather, floods and an uptick in more powerful earthquakes and volcanic activity. Jupiter quincunx Pluto can stand for difficulties while striving for power.It can stand for the pursuit of fanatical aims and desires and can stand for the loss of social standing and loss of wealth.

The week of Aug Sept 22 has a number of Astrological aspects pointing to issues with the US$. Subscribers have the dates. Not the least of these is Pluto at 10 degrees 59 minutes in Capricorn. This is conjunct the heliocentric Jupiter nodes and is a powerful point in the Zodiac.

In summary we may see a Major cycle low in the weeks of Sept 15 and Sept 22. If we don't see a low in that time frame look to the week of Oct 6th where we may get a 1/2 Primary cycle low. This is the start of eclipse season with a powerful Lunar eclipse on Oct 8 and a partial Solar eclipse on Oct 23rd.

Following is a daily chart of the DJIA and recent lunar and solar eclipses. The blue squares are the Lunar eclipses and the red squares are the Solar eclipses. Notice that they are often near turns, not always, but enough to trade. I'll go into more detail on the upcoming eclipses in future posts.



Gold
Gold is in the 13th week of it's Primary cycle  It is close to 1280, the number I was looking at for support. We did peak below but not on strong volume.

Geocentric Mars is in the tail of Scorpio and moves to Sagittarius on Sept 13th.
Heliocentric Mercury transits through Sagittarius starting Sept 5th. This has a history of strong moves in PM's both up and down.

If it's going to move it had better start very soon. It did get support at the bottom of the symmetrical triangle (see blue lines on the following daily Gold chart). Will it test this area again or go up from here? Watch Gold closely. We may get an initial strong move close to Sept 5th which possibly fails.


Silver is in the 14th week of it's Primary cycle. If Gold does not look positive, Silver looks worse. We may be near a 1/2 Primary cycle so like Gold, watch Silver closely next week.


Crude
We are in the 18th week of the Primary cycle in crude. The current cycle appears to be very left translated which is bearish. There is much going on with crude and the US$. A stronger US$ is not good for crude, at least WTIC.

We may have just seen the Primary cycle low.. We may now see a rebound into 96.80-97.30


On a longer term basis, Crude could drop from 105 - 85.00/CL in the 4th quarter of 2014

Other items, More specifics on the SP500, Gold and crude also US$, NatGas, Coffee reserved for subscribers.

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